Chapter 20
A major charitable activity suggestion
concerning reducing abortions
This would be like conditions in Rome where saving discarded babies
was a signature Christian activity
"Charity never faileth"
Except, in our case, it has already
failed, or we have failed it.
The first principle of
the practical Christian gospel is active charity. Unfortunately, today
the first operating principle of the LDS Church is to require all members to
pay all religious contributions to the central church where it is spent on
everything BUT charity. The limited available reports indicate that less than
1% of the tithing money received centrally goes to charity. The central offices
contain nearly ALL our welfare cases, so to speak. That kind of behavior will
never convince anyone that we actually believe in and practice serious charity,
raising the question as to whether we actually believe in the tenets of
Christianity.
The text at 1
Corinthians 13 is probably the most forceful argument for the importance of
charity, and it appears that
this kind of charity was indeed practiced by the Saints who lived during the
life of Christ and for at least 300 years afterwards.
1 Corinthians 13
Paul discusses the high status of charity—Charity, a pure love, excels and exceeds
almost all else.
1 Though I speak with
the tongues of men and of angels, and have not charity, I am become as sounding brass, or a tinkling cymbal.
2 And though I have the
gift of prophecy, and understand all mysteries, and all knowledge; and though I
have all faith, so that I could remove mountains, and have not charity, I am nothing.
3 And though I bestow
all my goods to feed the poor, and though I give my body to be burned, and have
not charity, it profiteth me
nothing.
4 Charity suffereth long,
and is kind; charity envieth not; charity vaunteth not itself, is
not puffed up,
5 Doth not behave
itself unseemly, seeketh not her own, is not easily provoked, thinketh no evil;
6 Rejoiceth not in
iniquity, but rejoiceth in the truth;
7 Beareth all things,
believeth all things, hopeth all things, endureth all things.
8 Charity never
faileth:
but whether there be prophecies, they shall fail; whether there be tongues,
they shall cease; whether there be knowledge, it shall vanish away.
9 For we know in part,
and we prophesy in part.
10 But when that which
is perfect is come, then that which is in part shall be done away.
11 When I was a child,
I spake as a child, I understood as a child, I thought as a child: but when I
became a man, I put away childish things.
12 For now we see
through a glass, darkly; but then face to face: now I know in part; but then
shall I know even as also I am known.
13 And now abideth
faith, hope, charity, these three; but the
greatest of these is charity.
So,
with this theoretical understanding of the importance of charity, what would an appropriate latter-day charitable works program
look like? Perhaps it could begin with a basic, efficient, charity-based social
insurance system that would gradually replace all the others in the world, at
least for members of the church. It might then set the goal of going on to
administer an annual budget of about $200 billion for active charity projects
designed to improve many aspects of earth life.
Hopefully,
we would be at least 10 times more efficient and effective than anyone else in
administering charity. We could replace Catholic Relief Services
and become many times larger and more influential than they ever were. It is
not clear today why the LDS Church has any association with the Catholic Relief
Services, since we should be perfectly able to do our own charitable works, if
we so chose.
Project
scale
To get some rough idea
of how big an effective Christian charity-based project might need to be to completely change the
direction of our nation, we might start with the observation that a US
presidential campaign costs about $1 billion these days, or maybe up to $2
billion. That is one rough measure of how much influence on the world $1
billion of focused effort can accomplish. By various estimates, the LDS church
receives between $15 billion and $50 billion a year and has about $100 billion in reserves, indicating that the church could
execute the equivalent of up to 150 presidential campaigns if it chose to.
If we said that the
colleges and universities of the United States absorbed about $500 billion each
year, and the K-12 education systems absorbed another $500 billion, that would
give us an idea of what it would take to counteract or replace the corrupt and
pagan-philosophy-dominated school systems of our country. The
mainstream media probably absorbs about $50 billion a year, and Hollywood might
absorb something like $10 billion a year. The Social Security system absorbs about $500
billion a year and the Medicare systems absorbs about $300 billion a year.
Directly counteracting or replacing all of these currently powerful and even
controlling secular influences on the people of the nation could require as
much as $1.8 trillion every year. It is quite possible that it would not take
anywhere near that amount to completely overturn all these negative influences,
if we were clever in our strategy, but we may not know the answer to that question until we are
well into some kind of a countercultural project.
The
main point here is to think big and not settle for just a small amount of local
influence, although that is a good place to start. The state of Utah ought to
be a model society on every level, but it is currently far from that. For
example, corruption of the court system seems both very deep and very blatant.
Getting Utah straightened out would give us some good experience and show other
people that it can be done.
It
seems highly likely that we could assemble many allies in this process of
fixing the degenerate culture of the United States, but someone needs to do the
research and experimenting and lead out to help people move along new paths
with confidence. That should be our first focus.
People
today are generally so misinformed and confused on so many topics, that perhaps
the first priority ought to be to improve the education process on every level.
Education
should be paramount. Everyone knows that it is better to teach a man to fish so
that he can take care of himself for life, rather than just to hand him a fish
that will feed him for one day. But the same education philosophy probably goes
for many other aspects of life such as teaching a person how to understand
politics well and how to vote wisely so that he can help repair a broken
society, as opposed to trying to perform some vague "nation-building"
projects without the full ideological support of the populace.
Administration
costs
One
way to improve the effectiveness of charities is to lower their administration
costs so that more money gets to the desired goal instead of being eaten up by
the process. It would be ideal if those who administer charity programs were not
themselves receiving a salary, although they might indeed have their travel and
communications expenses paid for. Keeping it all volunteer has a way of
ensuring that only those who are doing the tasks for the right reasons will
stay involved.
The participants would
be doing their personal charity and "paying their
tithing" by doing this work. We should end up with good, high-powered
people working for free, or at least without salary. The church could pay all administrative costs
so that 100% of contributions, even from outsiders, go to the intended
purposes. For example, the church might expend $200 million, mostly on travel
and communications costs, to administer $200 billion. That would give us the
remarkable result of having only 0.1% in administrative costs. That nearly
perfect administration system should encourage everyone with good intentions to
contribute to these projects.
Ideally, we would
develop plans and projects and test them, and then request large sums of money
from like-minded people in and out of the church, based on the results of our
pilot programs. This method of administration should bring in enormous amounts
of outside money.
Macroeconomic effects
Another long-term goal
of this project is to change the basic economics of an entire nation. Instead
of continuing to support [allowing] the wasteful and constraining tax-and-spend
government programs for retirement and medical care, which alone typically
capture 15.2% of a person's income, all of those programs should be gradually
replaced with a charity-based program which is
easily 2 1/2 times more efficient and will probably be five times more
efficient when operating correctly. That should have the effect of lowering
taxes, since the biggest portion of government spending, perhaps 80%, is
related to so-called "entitlement" spending for
"charitable" purposes which has non-gospel effects on citizens,
encouraging greed, fraud, waste, and abuse, which, together, double or triple
the cost to deliver the desired services. This all has a "virtuous
spiral" effect so that increasing charity decreases destructive taxes
which then allows for more charity, or free will-based services. Getting rid of
the vast inefficiencies of an atheist culture allows a gospel-based culture to
shine and become "the city on the hill" which every instinctively
good person wants to be part of.
When the Social
Security program was first begun,
there was an option to start an alternative system for pensions which could use
free-market principles along with a few government contribution parameters.
Numerous groups took advantage of that alternative system. The might most
widely known cases are the three counties in Texas which is which adopted this
alternate system. The participants in that program receive somewhere between
2.4 and five times greater pension benefits from that system. The participants
actually own the money and can spend it themselves or give to the children, as
opposed to the Social Security system where you only receive the money as long
as you're alive. If you live until your 85, you do well. If you die at age 65,
you get nothing. This problem disappears with the alternate systems used by
these three Texas counties.
I
think it is interesting that if the church had encouraged such systems in the
1930s, the people who have reaped church members who have retired since then,
calculating as 5 million retirees over a 50 year period, would have received
$10 trillion more than they did
receive through the government pension program. One can do rather large amount
of missionary work, or education work, or other good in the world with $10
trillion in extra money, with no extra fees involved. If the church had
sponsored such a system when it was possible, the church members as a group
would be receiving about $200 billion a year more than they are receiving now
from government systems. That extra free money could easily fund most of the
projects suggested here. With an administrative system which applies almost
100% of funds to the intended target audience, I believe many other people in
the world will want to offer to support our programs.
The
abortion avoidance/rescue/orphanage project
What follows are the
segments of a brochure I put together to try to inform people about a
much-needed charitable project and to seek their support.
Introduction
The basic problem we
start out with is that there are about one million abortions each year in the United
States, and nearly 60 million worldwide. These are staggering numbers which
mean that a population the size of the United States is prevented from coming
to earth every five years.
We should notice that
the number of abortions worldwide is about three times as high per
capita as we see today in the United States:
Calculation:
For the world: 60 million abortions/6 billion people = 1%.
For the United States: 1 million abortions/300 million people = 0.3%.
Presumably that is
because the United States is still the most Christian country in the world and
still values life more than anyone else. Unfortunately, if the rapidly growing
number of pathologically self-centered pagans in United States have their way,
the number of abortions each year in the United States will gradually
rise to about 3 million. That would put us on a par with the rest of the world.
We should at least try to keep this one million number from rising any more in
the United States, up to the 3 million level, even if we cannot set up a system
to do something about the nearly 60 million potential beneficiaries of our
program worldwide. In general, as we reach for a worldwide Zion, we should want to make the earth a more welcoming place for
everyone, especially for new babies.
State-level
antiabortion efforts
It is wonderful to see
at least 17 of the 50 states working hard to minimize or end abortions in their states. But,
unfortunately, it seems likely that, as a practical matter, most people seeking
abortions do so because they do not want to raise that child for some reason,
so if states are successful in limiting abortions, the number of unwanted
children, potential foster children, could go up substantially.
Also, unfortunately,
these same antiabortion states don't seem to be doing much to adapt for or
prepare for the likely effects of having success with their antiabortion policies. Perhaps we can say that their
Christianity goes far enough to want to avoid abortions, which is a good thing, but not far enough to try to solve all
the problems that cause people to want to limit their offspring through
abortions.
So, it appears that
someone needs to provide a large and practical system that will do something
about those impending consequences. If
limiting abortions means we simply have more child neglect or
abuse or even infanticide, those states will not
have actually made much of a positive difference but may make worse the whole
process of the birth and rearing of children.
Hopefully, one element of a successful program will be to help mothers
and fathers understand the value of life and be willing and able to raise these
children themselves. If we cannot
empower those parents, perhaps we can help in another way. We might start with
providing a comfortable place where women can go to be cared for themselves
until they give birth. If all else fails to get every child into a loving home,
the child can be temporarily placed in our orphanage.
Some
program limitations
One great difficulty is
that, at the beginning, we will certainly not be able to care for all the
nation's one million rejected babies, so we will have to engage in some kind of
selection or triage process to choose the limited number of children we can
assist and offer a nice life. Those outcomes may be determined for us in most
cases, but there will surely come times when we have to choose.
Unfortunately, to
create a viable and successful system we will probably have to focus on trying
to save those children who are best equipped to live a successful and
productive life. If we only choose the
sick and disabled children at first, those very ones who might seem the most
pitiful and needful at the beginning, we may not be able to give them the much
higher and longer term help they need.
We might find that those extreme resources, needed for one such child,
could possibly be used to successfully raise 10 healthy children to maturity.
A large and successful
general population can absorb and support a small percentage of seriously
disabled children, but we would not start out with anything like a large
"general population." But, hopefully, the long-term success of the
program contemplated here, will include grown children giving back to the
process, like alumni of any school, possibly including adopting some of these
children themselves. That bootstrapping process should finally allow a large
number of "institutionalized" or severely disabled children to be
cared for within the system we create. Otherwise there is the risk that we
might swamp and overwhelm the system with unbearable failure and sadness that
never goes away.
We
are not quite the same as Sparta, Athens, or the Eskimos. We don't have to
decide to discard a child or keep it. We simply have to decide that since we
cannot keep all the children, we simply keep the ones who are most likely to be
successful, and we continue that way until we can find a way to accept all
unwanted children.
Long-term
considerations -- exponential growth?
There
is another interesting issue here. The healthy and strong ones can grow up to
have children of their own which they will probably value more than their
parents valued them. This means that the number of "lives" that we
are helping will grow exponentially, which seems like a good idea. If only the
weak and sickly are saved, they are not likely to have any progeny of their
own, or be able to take care of them if they did. So, if we are trying to
optimize and maximize the number of spirits who can come to the earth and have
a good experience, then we would want to start out focusing on those who can be
successful.
Very
long-term considerations -- genetic entropy
For purposes of the
proposed project (and for the church more generally), we also have the very
long-term problem that the human genome is continuing to deteriorate rapidly
over time. After 300+ generations of humans on this earth, the mutation load is
becoming critical. The number of chronic, genetics-related diseases goes up at
a relatively fixed rate of about 0.7% a year, inexorably. This means that, by
now, about 50% of all living people have at least one significant genetic
disease. Diabetes and heart disease seem to be widespread current genetic
diseases, but the rate of cancer is also going up, especially cancer among
children. The occurrence of autism, which is apparently genetically related to
childhood cancer, seems to be going up at a frightening rate.
At some point in the
near future, perhaps in as little as 100 years or about five generations away,
children may be born with such an overwhelming set of genetic problems, that
they will not be able to survive after birth. This indicates that one of the
very long-term goals of this project ought to be to do the medical research
necessary to understand and deal with this long-term genetic entropy problem, to the extent that that is even
possible. Our society is probably already devoting enough resources to medical
research in general that they should be able to take on this research problem
and devise the best available solutions. However, in general, the researchers
appear to be so blinded by the false theories and speculations of atheistic
organic evolution that they will never focus these available
resources in the most fruitful places. Changing that pagan philosophy and refocusing those resources
ought to be one eventual goal of this project.
Christ quickly drew
many tens of thousands of people to his new religion, partly because he
demonstrated the power to heal people of every imaginable disease, and even to
raise them from the dead. At the present moment, it seems quite unrealistic for a
modern-day church to offer anything like those levels of healing powers to
people. However, if it turns out there IS any way for the church to offer
healing powers on that scale, that would be an extremely powerful indication to
the world that the church had the truth, and they would naturally flock to it.
It might even provide a way to resolve the unpleasant practical and ethical difficulty
of not being able to heal and help every child that comes into the world with
an imperfect body.
The Leland Farms Project
A vigorous Christian response to the
growing pagan practices of abortion and infanticide in our nation
Thanksgiving
Point Curiosity Museum -- a sample of possible
facilities to brighten children's lives.
Short Version
Leland Farms
Orphanage, farm, and schools
A 600-acre complex with orphanages,
farms, schools, and colleges,
plus appropriate housing for residents
and visitors.
Education
The
focus will be on education, and there will be facilities to promote education
at every level.
Demographics:
For
planning purposes, assume an eventual population of 16,000 orphans of all ages,
although a much smaller size would still be beneficial and feasible
Funding:
There
is a $0 funding option, a $1 million funding option, and a $3 billion funding
option explored.
LDS
families care about people and tend to be generous, so that it should be
reasonable to expect a final investment or endowment of $3 billion, if the
concept proves to be as valuable as it seems.
Volunteer staff:
Thousands
of families in the Utah Valley area, especially those who are retired, spend
large amounts of volunteer time on religion-related projects. Hopefully, these
same groups of people would be willing to act as volunteer grandparents or Big
Brothers/Big Sisters for the orphanage children.
History and philosophy
The
early Christians were known for rescuing rejected children who
had been "exposed" to the elements
by other Roman citizens. Some of those
children died anyway, and were given a Christian burial. In some cases, pagan people took these rejected children and turned
them into slaves, but of course the Christians did not turn them into slaves,
but kept them as their own children. This added to the ranks of the Christians
in Rome, and presumably in
other cities as well, since the exposing of unwanted children was a common
practice in that society. We seem to be
repeating all the practices and problems of Rome today. https://earlychurchhistory.org/medicine/infanticide-in-the-ancient-world/
Expansion:
If
another orphanage were to be created in St. George Utah, that
could be something similar to what is planned for Utah Valley, with even better
weather. There would likewise probably be tens of thousands of honorary
grandparents readily available to help out the project.
Instructive examples:
1.
A Child’s Hope Foundation. “Our Mission: Lifting Orphans from Surviving to
Thriving”
www.achildshopefoundation.org/about/
-- Orem Utah headquarters, assists orphanages in Bulgaria, China, Mongolia, Ukraine, Peru, South Korea, Haiti, and Mexico, with
more intense support for one orphanage in Haiti and three in Mexico.
2.
Southern Virginia University is a private liberal arts college located in Buena
Vista, Virginia. The school, though not officially affiliated with a particular
faith, embraces the values of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints.
www.svu.edu
Longer
Version
Leland Farms
Orphanage, farm, and schools
A 600-acre complex with orphanages,
farms, schools, and colleges,
plus appropriate housing for residents
and visitors.
I
prefer the term "boarding school" to such terms as orphanage or group home, since the term
"orphanage" has mostly gone out of style these days. The
"boarding school" term tends to emphasize the learning part of this
process. I fear that the term "orphanage" brings to mind the idea of
rows of cribs which act as cages for children who are kept from exploring the
world around them.
It
would be ideal if we had the money immediately available to take a 600-acre
block of land and turn it into a kind of planned "theme park," a
"curiosity museum" even larger than the one at Thanksgiving point,
with the entire Leland Farms project being designed for the maximum
learning opportunities of children from age 0 through age 18. To imagine the
broadest possible view, the project might begin on the east side with
facilities to assist mothers who wish to give up their babies for adoption,
with the "output" at the west end of the project, where young people
have completed high school or even college work and are ready to take their
place as adults in our society, having learned all the most important things
about the world we live in, including the importance of religion..
The two major factors
1.
I believe that Leland is a truly unique place which has been kept
from being overrun by the normal population for a purpose which is quite
different than just general economic progress. It is hard to imagine anywhere
else in the world where you could easily name six or eight bishops or past
bishops in the LDS church who own substantial amounts of property which are
essentially contiguous. There are many other good people who are have not been
LDS bishops but who subscribe to that same philosophy and might be willing to
help this project in some way.
On
the pure economics of the situation, I'm guessing that, except for the land
right around the Benjamin exit, which
will probably bring a major premium in land prices, the rest of the land in
Leland is likely to be sold at about the same price
whether it is sold to a standard commercial developer who is going to put in
homes, or whether it is sold to a charitable organization for an extensive
orphanage facility. The charitable organization might
actually be able to pay the current land owners more, if they wish, and the
payment of that money could take place in ways which might be more creative
than might be typical for a standard commercial developer.
2.
The battle of good and evil is accelerating every day in our nation, and one of
the areas of greatest conflict concerns the bringing of new babies into the
world. The atheistic political left considers that women should have the
availability of abortion on demand, paid for by the government. About 1
million babies are aborted each year in the US, and, if the political left has
its way, that number will soon rise to 3 million a year which would put the
United States at the same rate as the rest of the world. Presumably the fact
that Christianity still exists in the United States is what keeps the abortion
rate much lower, but that may not continue for long. (Worldwide, there are
about 56 million abortions a year as opposed to the United States' 1
million abortions. The US is about 1/20 of the world population, so,
theoretically, there should be about 3 million abortions a year in the US. ~60/20=~3)
There
is a very active political battle in progress. The godless left wants the Roe V Wade decision to be an eternal rule, while many of
the states are putting all the restraints on abortion which they reasonably
can, while undergoing constant scrutiny and litigation by the left. In at least
one case, Georgia, the state hopes to be the means of overturning Roe V Wade. There is quite a patchwork
of legislative results reached in the various states. There are currently 17
states that ban abortions beginning at 20 weeks. The latest move is for
one of those states, Ohio, probably to be soon joined by Georgia, to ban
abortions after six weeks when a baby's heartbeat can be detected. Technically,
most babies have a heartbeat at five weeks, but apparently the legislatures
have chosen six weeks as their target. Advances in medical science have made
the Roe V Wade decision vulnerable to
challenge, since that decision is based on the fact that there was no consensus
then about when a child becomes a person. Georgia is declaring that a baby
becomes a "natural person" at six weeks and is granted all the
protection of the state, including the right to child support, the right to be
claimed as a dependent, and the right to be included in George's population
counts.
School curricula:
Montessori
experiential schools and homeschooling are very popular in the state of Utah,
and there are numerous excellent and well-tested curricula available. These
methods also take full advantage of extensive online resources, many of them
free. They offer a very frugal alternative to expensive public education with
its enormous investment in centralized schools and the related busing systems.
The assumption is that this entire operation, including the schools, will
operate mostly independently of government and church funding and
administration systems and the related politics concerning warped values. The
hope is that the farming activities could make the whole operation mostly
self-sustaining, while also providing educational and productive work to the
orphans and volunteers.
History and philosophy
-- more
The
early Christians were known for rescuing rejected children who
had been "exposed" to the elements
by other Roman citizens. Some of those
children died anyway, and were given a Christian burial. In some cases, pagan people took those rejected children and turned
them into slaves, but of course the Christians did not turn them into slaves,
but kept them as their own children, in the process rejecting two immoral
aspects of Roman society. This added to the ranks of the Christians in Rome, and presumably in
other cities as well, since the exposing of unwanted children was a common
practice in that society. We seem to be
repeating all the practices and problems of Rome today.
https://earlychurchhistory.org/medicine/infanticide-in-the-ancient-world/
I'm
guessing that besides adding the children to the Christian ranks, other people
who were sympathetic with the Christian value system were also drawn to that
group of believers, offering a double sociological benefit to saving those
children. We do know that the early
Christians eventually grew to be the largest single
religious group in the Roman Empire.
It
would be useful to have more detailed statistics on the whole topic of children
who might be well served by an orphanage, but it is instructive
to learn that there are about 1 million abortions a year in the United
States and a total of about 56 million abortions worldwide each year. Many
other children are born alive but are not wanted, leading to abandoned children
or infanticide, plus the classical
orphans in cases where parents have passed away. I read of one case in Brazil
where 200 children out of 1000 were killed or left to die by their parents.
These are all staggering numbers, and it would take some heroic efforts to
begin to do what the early Christians did in saving unwanted
children, but on a worldwide scale. When you realize that every six years the
entire population of the United States is lost to abortions worldwide, one
might see this as an amazing opportunity to do good or as nothing more than a
depressing statistic. One year's loss of life through intentional abortion or infanticide would
replace the entire LDS church population three times. The 60 million children
who have been aborted since 1973 in the United States would easily replace all
those workers who are now being supplied in the form of desperate immigrants
from South American and Central American countries.
Potential participating
landowning families:
Larsen,
Larson, Eaton, Christensen, Creer, Swenson, Nielsen, Westwood, Isaac,
Baadsgaard, et al.
Some possible practical
factors
1. County assistance to
farmers
The
county government for Utah County is considering a proposal to assist new
farmers in being able to make a living on a farm. The County is proposing to
give some kind of assistance to lower the beginning capital costs required to
operate a farm profitably. This will be difficult, of course, because there is
a constant upward pressure on the cost of land, making it very difficult to get
a proper return on investment in land and the equipment required to work it.
2. Conservation
covenants
In
many places, land owners have the option to limit the future use of their land
for themselves, their families, and others, by making a long-term commitment to
keep the land close to its original form. That might apply in Leland if some of those who own
land would wish to make that commitment. Perhaps that commitment would be
easier to make if there was some remuneration for those landowners at the beginning.
Using land for the charitable purposes suggested here may be far more valuable
than using it for ordinary residential purposes. This needs to be explored
quickly before the option passes of being able to do such a thing on a grand
scale.
3. Dual-use
construction
There
is also the interesting possibility that if Leland were developed for
purposes of supporting a large population of orphans and related people and
facilities, that development might itself look very much like regular residential
development. The main difference might be that the homes would be a little
larger, with more bedrooms, so that they could be suitable for operating as
group homes. It seems ideal if a new development can be created for the very
purpose of orphanage-style operations. At
least there would be no backlash later on as might happen if someone first
developed the area as a standard residential area and then tried to move it
piecemeal to becoming an orphanage-style operation. The typical Not in My
Backyard (NIMBY) reaction would never have a reason to exist. If the project
were not successful or if the concept or the location changed, those original
houses might be repurposed to normal residential living much more easily than
going the other way.
4. The current planning
status
The
surrounding cities of Spanish Fork, Salem, and Payson seem to be aggressively
pursuing development of this area. It may seem like a sensible thing to do, but
I don't know of any requirement for the cities to press for this kind of
development. Presumably the cities are only driven by the opportunity to
increase taxes on developed land and therefore grow the size of the city
administration. However, the cities are theoretically supposed to be the
servants of the people who live there, not their masters. If the people in the
nearby areas where there is still raw land wish to restrict the growth of the
cities and the growth of the city's power over those large parcels of raw land,
that seems like something which should be possible. There is nothing inevitable
about having to accept this kind of aggressive growth, for no other reason than
for growth's sake. It is my opinion that many cities in Utah County have far
too grand view of their own purposes and powers, and that attitude ought to be
reset. Representative government is supposed to work at the local level, not
just in Washington DC.
It
may be that it would make a great deal more sense to leave Leland intact and to direct the
typical developmental growth toward areas which are to the west of Leland,
simply skipping over Leland. The commuter bedroom communities for offices along
the Wasatch front easily extend down to Santaquin and beyond. There is no
obvious reason why this particular tract of 1200 acres ought to be so avidly
sought by city managers. Perhaps it would make more sense to start someplace
like Benjamin or Lakeshore and upgrade the status of their cities and appoint
THEM to be the ones who are annexing land for residential and business purposes.
They would almost certainly be more democratic in how they planned for
residential expansion.
I
understand that Spanish Fork has zoned one area for 500 homes, and Salem has
zoned another area for 1500 homes, and that Target stores has bought land near
the Benjamin exit, and that Salem is planning to build a sewer facility in the
area of Benjamin exit. But none of these things seem inevitable or even
particularly necessary. It may be slightly cheaper to provide utilities for
Leland from the existing cities, but it should only
be a minor change in cost to leave Leland intact, jump the freeway going west
and then continue development there. The general flow of water is obviously
from the mountains to the lake, and there's no particular reason to stop at any
particular point along that drainage slope to emphasize one area over another.
"Doing what comes naturally" may not seem so natural if there are
other important factors to be considered, such as the "boarding school"
option.
I
believe there are areas near Spanish Fork, Salem, and Payson that are rather
low quality as far as farming possibilities are concerned. It seems obvious
that those areas should be first moved into residential use before the
higher-quality farmland is bothered. Perhaps that is what is already happening
with the zoning of Spanish Fork and Salem, but I don't know the reasoning
behind what they are doing.
A few interview results:
1. One local landowner
had two reactions to the idea. One was that there are many people who want to
adopt, and there are far too few babies for them to adopt. On the other hand, the real difficulty, as he
sees it, is in convincing pregnant mothers to go full term and give birth to
their babies when there is abortion on demand where the
government pays for the medical costs which make it free to the mother. Many
adoptions can be very expensive, rising to as much as $50,000. There are still
apparently more people who are willing to pay that amount than there are babies
for them to adopt. That should give us a few clues about how the various
programs might be set up.
He was not certain that
it was necessary to build a big physical plant to make a big difference. That
is a good point if we would like to get some kind of program going quickly.
Obviously, if we delay as long as possible building any structures for an
orphanage, we can do a lot of
work at minimal cost in exploring who the children and families might be who
would benefit from such facilities.
In contrast, I would
observe that this may be a chicken and egg situation: if we have the
facilities, then it's much easier to make it clear that we are prepared to take
good care of any children that are entrusted to us. Perhaps beginning with
building or renting a single group home, perhaps with 8-10 bedrooms, would be
one way to kick off the project, get some office space, and get some experience
with the whole process.
2. A Spanish Fork-based
builder thought the general idea of a high-quality orphanage was a good one. He is very much aware of the
state's efforts to build housing for people in need, but there is no state
follow-up program to make sure these people get the individual help or
encouragement they need.
The Basic Church Statistical Picture
Church growth
statistics help explain what's happening to the church worldwide
Introduction
The
last five years of church statistics show that almost everything is in decline
as far as membership growth rates are concerned. There are fewer missionaries,
fewer children of record added, fewer converts, fewer members added, fewer
missions, and fewer districts. There is a small increase in the number of
stakes, wards and branches, and church service missionaries. It is not clear
why the numbers of stake organizations and wards or branches are going up,
while almost everything else is going down, unless perhaps there was some decision
made to increase the levels and concentration of local organizations in hopes
of increasing local control and perhaps using that method to stimulate growth
through more intensive administration. The increase in the number of church
service missionaries, while the number of full-time missionaries keeps
dropping, may be related numbers. That could easily happen if fewer people
chose the more rigorous full-time mission option which usually involves more
travel, and instead chose the more local and less rigorous service mission
option.
Only an increase of
3,000 in new long-term members from 2017 to 2018? Or was it a net loss?
The
statistics which the church supplies publicly are interesting, but they are far
from thorough, leaving us to guess about what is happening in many situations.
For dramatic effect I want to focus on the apparent gain of only 3,000
long-term active members during the year of 2018. But even a gain of 3,000
might be a stretch. It could easily be a net loss after all the factors are considered.
I calculate that 3,000 by noticing that there was only an increase of 30 wards
and branches worldwide. It would be much more helpful if we knew exactly how
many branches and exactly how many wards were added, instead of seeing only a
combined total. To get around that lack
of more exact information, I'm going to assume that the average size of
branches and wards is 100. Branches are smaller and wards are bigger, but 100
might be a reasonable average size. So, obviously, 30x100 equals 3,000. But notice
that we have 30,536 wards and branches. If the church, on average, lost one
person from each of those wards or branches, that would be a loss of 30,536
active members. That could mean that there was actually a net loss of about
27,536. The point is, that we are getting so close to zero growth, that we
can't actually be sure which way it went. I will supply some other numbers
later which will make it seem more like it was indeed a year in which the
church had a net loss in active members.
Starting
with some of the basics
I think it is useful to
distinguish here between the basic maintenance level, baptizing enough people
to replace those who have died or left the church, and actually going beyond
that maintenance level to include raising the total number of active church
members by bringing in new long-term members. I am more interested in seeing
the church actually grow, not just avoid shrinking, so I would prefer to start
with that growth viewpoint. But it is probably too confusing to start there, so
I will start with the more basic maintenance level concerns.
Church statistics from
2018 show that there were 234,332 converts, and that the church grew by
only
195,566
members. (We might wonder where those lost 38,766 went to? Was it because of an
extra-large number of deaths or defections?) And supposedly, that increase of
195,566 includes baptized children of record. New children of record are
reported to number 102,102, of which, historically, only about 60% actually get
baptized, which would add about 61,261 for 2018.
But the
church only grew by 30 wards and branches, which I would estimate to be 3000
people that were new long-term members. It is obviously hard to understand what
is going on here without more and better data.
The
church does not report deaths anymore, but an average life expectancy of 75
years implies that 1.33% of the population will die each year. For the current
reported church population of 16,313,735 that would mean that the church should
have about 216,973 deaths each year. With 234,332 converts reported, that would
give us a net gain of only 17,359 of new members over deaths, without counting
defections. But notice that last year the church only reported a gain of
195,566, which is 21,407 less than the claimed converts. Extra deaths or
defections might be involved, but there is no way to know exactly what
happened. Also remember that the church reported 102,102 new children of record,
of which perhaps 60%, or 61,261, were probably baptized from prior years'
blessings of children. So, the church might claim that converts, plus the
baptisms of children of record from prior years, would be a total gain of
295,593, but they only report a gain of 195,566, an unexplained loss of
100,027. It's hard to guess what went on behind these numbers.
The above chart presents the basic information reported by the church for the past five years. Each year shows the statistics reported for that year, with extra columns showing the difference between that year and the prior year, and the calculated percent difference between the two years.
2018 Church Statistics |
|
Comments |
Calculation 1 |
|
|
Reported converts |
234,332 |
|
Estimated baptisms of
children of record (60% of 102,102 reported children of record) |
61,261 |
|
Total expected growth |
295,593 |
|
|
|
|
Reported church net
growth |
195,566 |
|
Unexplained loss |
100,027 |
Extra deaths or defections? |
|
|
|
Calculation 2 |
|
|
Total expected growth |
295,593 |
|
Estimated deaths |
216,973 |
|
Estimated church net growth |
78,620 |
|
|
|
|
Reported church net
growth |
195,566 |
|
Estimated church net
growth |
78,620 |
|
Unexplained "gain" |
116,946 |
Were many deaths
unreported? |
Reported missionaries |
65,137 |
|
Average converts per
missionary per year |
3.597 |
|
|
|
|
Low estimate of
church resources centrally assembled annually (could be 3 times that large) |
$15 billion |
|
Cost for each of
234,332 converts -- $15 billion/
234,332 = |
$64,011 |
|
|
|
|
Calculation 3 |
|
|
For 2018 |
|
|
Growth in number of
wards and branches |
30 |
|
Estimated growth in
new long-term active members, assuming 100 average for a ward or branch |
3,000 |
|
Low estimate of
church resources centrally assembled annually (could be 3 times that large) |
$15 billion |
|
Cost for each of
3,000 net new long-term converts |
$5 million |
|
Cost for a family of
five |
$25 million |
|
|
|
|
For 2017 |
|
|
Growth in number of
wards and branches |
202 |
|
Estimated growth in
new long-term active members, assuming 100 average for a ward or branch |
20,200 |
|
Low estimate of
church resources centrally assembled annually (could be 3 times that large) |
$15 billion |
|
Cost for each of
30,000 net new long-term converts |
$742,574 |
|
Cost for a family of
five |
$3,712,870 |
|
|
|
|
For 2016 |
|
|
Growth in number of
wards and branches |
288 |
|
Estimated growth in
new long-term active members, assuming 100 average for a ward or branch |
28,800 |
|
Low estimate of church
resources centrally assembled annually (could be 3 times that large) |
$15 billion |
|
Cost for each of
30,000 net new long-term converts |
$520,833 |
|
Cost for a family of
five |
$2,609,165 |
|
Even if
Mormons are extra healthy, we can still be fairly confident that there were
somewhere around 200,000 members who died, plus an unknown number of those who
left the church. After all that activity and all those changes, it leaves only
about 3000 members who can be counted as actual growth. Of course, it is
useful for the missionaries to replace the people who die and leave the church,
but it is clear that the birthrate within the church is nowhere near enough to
keep us from shrinking without the missionaries finding new people. That itself
ought to be a cause for alarm, and evidence that the newer generations of
church members don't value children very much – not enough to even replace
those members who die. Here again, it seems like we
ought to focus a great deal more on living people than on dead people who have already had their turn on
Earth. They are much more able to take care of themselves than are these little
ones.
If
we said that the income of the central church was a mere $15 billion a year
(some have estimated it to be three times that amount), bringing in about
200,000 converts to avoid the church shrinking from deaths would cost about
$75,000 each (enough to keep out 25 missionaries for a year for each person
baptized.). But, ideally, we would not be spending all of our money just to
stay exactly where we are. We would be making some progress. The fact that we
are not making any progress should tell us that there's something critically
wrong with our current program.
In 2018, the Church
added only about 3,000 people to the
number of long-term active members. That
is getting close enough to zero that
the church leaders cannot really argue anymore that they have an effective
program. The number of missionaries is
shrinking as well, perhaps as people find out that they can go on their
missions for 1.5 or 2 years, and, even though they may baptize on average about
4 people each year per missionary, many of them will not have a single convert
that stays with the church long-term. On
average, in recent years it has taken more than two missionary man-years to get
one new long-term convert beyond the maintenance level, beyond keeping the
church from shrinking, and now, as of last year, we see the church adding
hardly any new long-term converts, meaning it takes about 20 missionary man-years
for every new long-term convert which actually extends the size of the active
members of the church.
The 3000 number
represents the new long-term converts who added enough to the church activity
rolls to justify adding a ward or branch somewhere in the world. Last year the
church added 30 wards and branches. If we guess that there is an average of 100
people for each ward or branch, then 30x100 = 3000.
The church attitude
towards missionaries seems to be that the people in Utah, their main
constituency, their "breadbasket" so to speak, the source of so much
of their money income and volunteers, really want their children to get out and
go on missions and see the world, and so the church is supplying that
experience for young people. However, at
this point that whole system is so strikingly ineffective, almost
counterproductive, with so many missionaries becoming depressed, that the time
has come to end it or greatly reorganize it. Again, the whole thing was built
up as a service to the money-paying people in Utah, and that whole program is
falling apart. I could supply some statistics but that may not even be
necessary. I think we are beyond
statistics. People can plainly see that
the whole thing is not working.
A few years ago, as in
2016, the church members were paying through tithing about $0.5 million for
each new long-term member which would mean, overall, that we were paying about
$2.5 million for a family of five. But
that was when we were still bringing in about 30,000 new long-term people a
year, as indicated by the number of new wards and branches that were formed
each year. Today, the numbers concerning
average cost have become astronomical.
We are now spending about $5 million for each new long-term member, and
about $25 million for every family of five.
Can you imagine how
many children could be saved from abortion with that kind of money
available to fund the program? Perhaps we should simply charge the church $1
million for each new long-term member we supply through the orphanage system.
That would save them a great deal of money and get us off to a great
financial start. This, of course, is another way to say that our whole system
has collapsed, as well it should, because we are not following the simple
program that Christ set out.
We have made up our own
program which focuses on centralizing all the money which is possible, and then
essentially intentionally wasting all that money at the central offices so that
the members will not actually be able to use those resources to do something
good in the world, since doing so would be so disruptive to the church's
current business model of quietly enjoying a lavish income for doing almost
nothing. That system is in a state of
full collapse and we might as well recognize it and take some action to fix
it. If church leaders are unwilling to
face reality and "face the music," so to speak, then a few sturdy
members are going to have to take action.
The truth is that my
deepest reason for wanting to do this abortion/orphanage project is because of how confused the church
has become after 200 years of operation – the point at which all previous
restorations have collapsed. This
orphanage program would be a serious project that does a lot of good, and is
very necessary. It would start the process of people exercising their religious
freedom to send their charity money where they think it
will do the most good, and I hope that this abortion/orphanage project will
seem like exactly the right thing for all these people to do. They can stop sending their money to the
temple building/temple work charitable activity which
keeps church members busy and off the streets but doesn't create any effect in
the real world, or they can send their money to a project which is aggressively
taking on Christian activities. There
will be some members who would like to remain invisible and ineffective, but
there are some who are a little more aggressive in their Christianity, and will
want to send a message to the world that the Mormons support Christianity
everywhere and are not shy about it.
This will probably
terrify the current church leadership, and I don't know what they will do. They might even do something completely
irrational. But it is time to find out,
since we can officially declare that the old system has completely failed. It is no longer in doubt which way the right
direction to go might be.
If the church does
choose to help us, I would say Hallelujah, because that will mean that this hundred-year
confusion about the mission of the church will finally be cleared up and we can
get back on the right path. I'm not
expecting that to happen, but that would be the ultimate measure of success for
this project.
I believe there is a
silver lining to this current bad situation or problem. We do indeed have many
church members in other countries already, even though the cost of getting them
has already been 100 times what it should have been. If we simply stopped
trying to keep people from gathering, and let the gathering happen naturally in
any way people wanted to do it, or could do it, we would suddenly have all
these church members from all over the world flooding in to be living in the
United States. And, using the examples from the 1800s, where 90,000 people came from England and Scandinavia to Utah
within just a few years, constituting about 83% of ALL active members in about
1852, for every person who left a foreign land for Zion, there would be one or two people who would be getting ready to
do the same thing. That process would never stop. Many arrived in Utah without
ever officially joining the Church through baptism, presumably because of their
eagerness to leave their bad situation in England.
That is the way it
worked in England. People wanted freedom, and the church
gathering process provided an organized way to escape the near-slavery the
lower classes experienced in England. (We might remember
that it was English ships who were bringing slaves to America, providing
insight into the English viewpoint on slavery at that earlier time.) The
opportunity to live in freedom is an enormous and constant electro-magnet
(which we have intentionally turned off). If we would just get out of the way,
we would only have to help a little here and there to have a constant flood of
people joining us in the United States and greatly bulking up the number of
pro-freedom people in the United States, hopefully enough to continually overwhelm
the anti-freedom influences which keep growing in our nation.
When you have Zion all in one place, they
will take care of themselves. You don't need a giant expensive bureaucracy to act as headquarters
for 200 different scattered tribes or versions of the church living under 200
different versions of Babylon. You only need such a huge bureaucracy if you can insist on
keeping everyone from gathering together. So, as a business model, you want to
avoid the gathering because it hurts your tithing income going to your paid
ministry labor union.
Here
is a more precisely written version of that historical migration from Europe:
In a chapter by Rodney
Stark about LDS Church growth,
he includes one subtopic entitled “The British to the Rescue.”* The statistics he
provides show that the British converts went from 23% of the 16,865 members in
1840 to 83.4% of the 52,640 members in 1852, then gradually down to 49% of the
188,263 members in 1889. This was a huge influx of members at a critical time
for the Church. Of the 92,465 total British converts in the 1840 to 1890
period, 89,695 moved to the US, leaving 2,770 behind. The year 2000 membership
figure for the United Kingdom is 165,100, so the emigration of that huge
portion of early British converts does not appear to have caused any long-term
problem for the Church in that country.
*Rodney Stark, "The Basis of Mormon Success: A Theoretical Application”
in James T. Duke, ed., Latter-day Saint Social Life: Social Research on the LDS
Church and its Members (Provo, Utah: Religious Studies Center, Brigham Young University, 1998), pp. 29-67 (chapter 2).
Some further steps?
One
of the very long-term goals of this project could be to establish an entire new
social insurance system based on charity, which worked so well for the Saints during and after the life
of Christ. That would mean replacing Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and perhaps 60 other patchwork
tax-and-spend entitlement programs with a gospel-based/charity-based system.
Such a system is easily twice as efficient as anything a government can do with
its wasteful and corrupt methods, and these charity-based support systems can
easily be five times as effective.
The
church could have solved this general social insurance problem for all of us
back in the 1930s when it was easy to do, bringing $10 Trillion in extra
pension funds to church members up to the present. They didn't do a thing then,
going along meekly with the New Deal then, so it is a little
harder to do it now. But it is well worth the effort even if it takes several
years to work out mechanisms that are suitable so that these tax-and-spend
atheistic entitlement monstrosities can be replaced with something Christian
and workable, without having to pay two or three times just for insuring that
peoples' basic needs are taken care of when necessary.
The Leland Farms Project
A vigorous Christian response to the
growing pagan practices of
abortion and infanticide in our nation
An Administrative
Addendum
Who should do this project?
Should it be a new,
local, one-of-a-kind charitable organization which starts from scratch and
gradually builds itself up, or should LDS Church headquarters have a role in
this project? Or should there be some
combination of the two?
Some possible topics
for discussion:
1. If the Church was
ever interested in making a statement that could change the course of the
nation, this looks like this would be a good time to do it.
2. This would represent
a new and seemingly unusual way to "gather Israel." Perhaps it could
gradually be scaled up to compete on almost equal terms with the regular
proselyting processes. The project should also have major ripple effects as it
shows other Christian groups one good way to go about counteracting the
pro-abortion influences on all levels.
3. If the Church wanted
to increase its total number of proselyting missionaries and service missionaries,
this might be a good way to do it, perhaps adding 20,000 to the young people
and senior citizens involved. It seems likely that the senior citizens would be
especially interested in this kind of service. Everyone loves children, and the
social stresses and anxieties should be much less in assisting children than in
cold-contacting unknown adults of the world.
4. Teaching children
while they are a young, especially those who might feel some gratitude for
having been rescued, is usually a better way to introduce the gospel than
having to help people first "unlearn" what they have incorrectly
learned in their lives.
5. The rate of church
growth seems to be dropping in recent years. Setting up this Leland Farms project and system
could help greatly improve church growth. I think this project could have many
ripple effects which could raise the church growth rate far beyond just the
number of children who were helped directly by the project. Simply further
emphasizing the LDS respect for life and respect for personal freedom would have a positive effect on people's view
of the LDS church.
6. Although this may
seem like a highly political move, in another sense it is not very political,
even though it is a direct challenge to rampant paganism. The idea of killing babies simply because they are
inconvenient to have around is not really popular anywhere. Almost everyone can
agree that is a bad idea. Even the atheistic political left claims that they
are really sad about there being so many abortions. They don't actually believe that, of course, but Christian
thinking still has so much influence in our country that atheists would never
publicly state that it is their goal to kill as many children as possible.
The atheistic left
would have to find a different argument against the project.
7. I have often thought
it would be nice if, instead of sending humanitarian relief funds to Catholic
organizations to be administered, a large amount of church funds could be sent
to more specifically LDS projects such as this one, where the teaching of the
gospel is an important part of the project.
8. We put a huge amount
of effort into saving the dead, but maybe it is time
to put some more effort into saving the living through this new channel of
assisting children into this world and into gospel families.
9. Many states, at
least 17, have tried very hard to constrain abortion to the extent they can at
the state level, pushing back actively against the 1973 federal takeover a
rightful state issue. This project could become a focal point for coordinating
the activities of a large number of Christians in our nation who are
taking aggressive action to limit the number of abortions, but who may not actually have a plan to follow through on some
of the practical effects of the legal changes that are being proposed. The
great efforts of these other Christians ought to be recognized and assisted
where possible.
10. The church has been
putting a lot of architectural effort into explicitly religious structures such
as chapels and temples. Perhaps some of that architectural enthusiasm could be
directed toward solving a social problem such as the new wave of abortions and infanticides. Housing and educating
young people would become more important.
11. Once a project
headquarters staff was assembled and trained, it is quite possible that the activities
in Leland, the part that could
be seen easily, would only be 1/10th of what was being administered worldwide.
12. There are many
possible initiation and long-term management methods that could be used. The
LDS church might offer a loan or grant to this organization. Or the church
might design and build it and then turn it over to someone else to operate,
perhaps through some leasing arrangement. If the LDS church did not want to
make its efforts too public because of potential public relations problems,
there might even be a way for it to remain anonymous. It is conceivable that
the original cost could be paid back over time.
13. It could be that a
local management group would care little about what the world thought of them,
since that local group might see themselves as having little to lose, and would
not be subject to much social "blowback" from the project, while the
centralized church might be more concerned about such matters.
14. The Church already
has some undeveloped land in Leland. A fully developed project area might need multiple chapels.
15. I believe the LDS
Church could easily do this project if it chose to. It could set up even the most ambitious
version of the project within two or three years, perhaps by slightly delaying
some of its many temple building projects. Even at the highly ambitious $3 billion
level, that would probably not be much of a strain on the Church or change its
other plans very much.
Current church strategy
(And
why the Church leaders probably will not help us with the orphanage project,
at
least not at the beginning.)
The first three
presidents of the church used the same basic program as Christ used
himself. Christ made clear his extreme
focus on charity, and imposed no other
expenses on the members. We should be able to remember that Christ fulfilled
and ended the law of Moses, especially including ending the law of tithing, for which he
showed great scorn during his ministry.
Every
separate group of church members had their own patriarch who held all the sealing
powers, so they didn't need any central headquarters or any fancy or expensive
buildings to be able to carry out every aspect of the complete Gospel. And with
a built-in social safety net based on charity for anyone who joined the
church, the church apparently attracted a lot of good people and grew at a rate
of at least 10% a year for the next 300 years.
But starting with
Wilford Woodruff, the church changed its strategy into something else, and
it has been gradually going further and further in that new direction. It has
finally reached the logical end of that path. It must change direction or face
continual near-paralysis or perhaps even extinction. It certainly cannot continue
to grow enough to matter to anyone.
There are a few simple,
basic rules that seem to control nearly everything which the Church does at the
strategic level:
Rule number one: the
church is largely controlled by outsiders
Rule number one is that
the nature of the Church today is mostly controlled by the corrupt governments
of the world. This really means that we
have about 200 versions of the church, one for each of the world's 200
countries, not just a single version of the church. One might guess that it
takes a huge administrative bureaucracy to administer 200
versions of the church instead of just one version of the church, and that partially
explains why we have such an enormous government-style overhead staff at the
Salt Lake City headquarters which
operates this diplomatic regime that directs all the activities of these 200
versions of the church.
In order for the church
to go into other countries using its current corporate form and current
policies, it must receive permission from those various governments which are
more or less corrupt. That means that
the church must do absolutely nothing to threaten any of these
organizations. The church must be as
bland as possible. It must make it clear
somehow to these corrupt foreign leaders that the church will never promote
freedom-seeking activities of
any kind or do anything else which might seem even slightly disruptive to these
various corrupt leaders or groups of leaders or their societies.
The way it affects us
here in the United States is this: we are not allowed to do anything in the
United States that would seem the least bit threatening to a government
somewhere else. (Especially today, with all the many news organizations and the
Internet constantly carrying masses of new information around the world, it
means that anything new done in the United States by the LDS Church would soon,
often almost immediately, be made known everywhere else.)
There are many things
which could be helpful to the church which we could do in the United States
because of the great freedom we have here that would cause it to grow and
be successful and be a great blessing to many people. But all of those things must be tamped down
or remain essentially invisible so that the leaders of these other countries
will not feel threatened in the least by the church being present there as a
formal organization with a major headquarters in Salt Lake City. The church budget is
larger than at least 30 countries, and perhaps as many as 60 countries, so it
is likely to be treated as a serious potential political threat, if it chose to
be a threat.
This means that the
nature of the church in the United States has to be the lowest common
denominator of every other country in the world. If there is one country where we can't do
something in the rest of the world, then we can't do it here, because otherwise
word would get out that we are inconsistent and that we might be a threat to
some other governmental organization somewhere in the world. For example, if we encouraged the gathering
of members from around the world, we might be viewed as stealing their people
or we might be viewed as being part of a brain-drain operation if we took their
best people or allowed or encouraged them to move to the United States. Apparently, using this logic, the gathering
has been officially canceled as of the 1970s, probably because that could be a
source of irritation to these other governments.
(I should mention that
some of the things I say here I am very confident are true, and other things I
say are slightly speculative since I can't gather much data on some of these
points. But I do believe that all the
things I say are consistent, and if the church selects one policy then it must
necessarily select another closely related policy to stay consistent.)
Rule number two: The lowest common
denominator
So, the church in the
United States having to be the lowest common denominator among all countries is
the most basic rule of all. That really means that we can't do anything that
normal Christians would do in the United States. We can't be actively promoting freedom as Christians have done for the past 2000
years, which process brought the United States into existence. The church has officially decided that it
cannot continue that history of promoting freedom that brought us to where we
are. That single factor causes me the
largest amount of heartburn.
Again, we can't be
promoting freedom here because that will, in the minds of the
church leaders, lead to a suspicion by all the leaders of these other countries
that we will inevitably start promoting freedom there in their countries, and
of course those countries don't want that.
A possible example is Venezuela today where there are quite a few church
members in that country, and they probably would all like to be free, but the
church presumably believes it cannot be involved in even the most bland way in
helping them gain their freedom.
In other words, the
church members abroad are expected to stay in the countries where they joined
the church so that their leaving is not a threat. Many of those countries have such terrible
economic and social situations that it makes it almost impossible for someone
to live the gospel there because of all the conflicts that they will have with
the mainline society and the government. At the same time, they can't take any
steps to change that society to make it more bearable because that would be a
threat to the ruling powers there. The local people, the old settlers, would
say "This is our culture, not yours, and your changes are not welcome
here." Remember Jackson County Missouri? Things did not go well for the members who wanted to actually
live the gospel there.
Those conflicts with
local societies argue very strongly for foreign members to leave their
particular version of Babylon and come to the United States where the sheer
numbers of church members would build up a huge pool of freedom-loving people who could
keep the United States on an even keel and keep it from destroying itself
through adopting worldly atheistic beliefs and practices. However, someone at church headquarters has
made the choice that it is currently more beneficial to church headquarters to
proceed using the current strategy. That means that
individual church members out in these branches of Babylon are hurt very much
by this church policy. They are asked to
sacrifice needlessly on behalf of the church headquarters itself. Strangely
enough, the very lack of privileges of members in those foreign countries gives
excuses for the Salt Lake City bureaucrats to have additional privileges here
as they travel to deal with some of the problems there. I see nothing fair or
necessary about that at all. The church leaders in Salt Lake City can travel
the world at will, and have a great time, but the members abroad are chained to
their current locations.
Another
layer deeper
So now it's time to go another layer deeper.
So why would the church want to keep people living in these often very
unpleasant Third World countries when they could come to the United States or
perhaps some other First World country and enjoy the blessings of freedom and be able to live the Gospel exactly as they
would like?
Apparently, through
trial and error, the church headquarters has discovered that the people in Utah
and in the United States will consistently pay the largest amount of tithing to
church headquarters if there are certain conditions in effect. The church needs
to keep members in these other countries, not for their own sake or for the
sake of the other people there, but because they represent trophies which can
be presented as reasons and proof that the church is being successful and why
the church members should keep paying in their tithing money. Also, when the church is able to build
chapels and temples in these other countries,
that has multiple policy effects. It
tells the tithe-paying people in the United States that the church must be
achieving success because it has now been able to plant another symbol, another
trophy, in one of these foreign countries, so that the people in Utah can feel
like they are being successful even though they have no idea what's actually
going on in the world.
Actually, I consider
the building of a temple in one these foreign countries to be a major
step backwards in many cases, the most egregious case being in East Germany during the Cold War. What that really means is
that the church has finally given away enough of the freedom of their own members to make a deal with the
usually corrupt powers-that-be there so that those people will allow us to
build a temple there. We have dumbed
down or simplified the Gospel to the extent that is required in that area so
that we have satisfied the corrupt attitudes of the governing men or bodies of
men so that we can build a temple there.
I consider this, as I say, a step backwards. There might be many things that were possible
for church members to do quietly before they became so visible through their
temples, and perhaps to a less
extent through their chapels, and now they can't do some of those things anymore because
they have to behave in a certain prescribed way. They become hostages to that
temple which has been built. That means,
in most cases, their freedom and personal ability to live the Gospel in
everyday life actually goes lower.
We then have a
trade-off. Yes, those foreign members
have the chance to go to a temple and perform some
ordinances themselves and for the dead, but their own daily
lives are worse than they were before or worse than they could be somewhere
else. The temple actually keeps them peaceful -- it gives them an outlet for
their energies which otherwise might be devoted to helping others and improving
freedom. That makes the temple a kind of albatross
around their necks, although I assume it is not obvious most of the time.
The church headquarters
probably considers a temple to be a good thing
because it will pacify those people and stop them from trying to leave or
trying to disrupt the local corrupt society by trying to make it better. But it actually puts them in chains. They could easily go to some other country
for their temple ordinances, especially if some element of the church helped them, and they
would learn some interesting things in the process. Of course, it might also stimulate
them to want to be more free to live the gospel, and that is what the church is
trying to avoid. The church ends up having to manage member expectations.
Also, it should be
mentioned here, that temples are not a necessary part
of the gospel at all. The people after
the time of Christ had no buildings at all for 300 years and they did very
nicely. We somehow forget that rather
important little historical fact. An endowment house served the people of Salt
Lake City for 40 years before the
temple there was finished. It seemed to be perfectly adequate.
The early Christians were always persecuted,
at least in the sense that they could not build any buildings, whether chapels or temples. But that restriction
turned out to be an unexpected blessing in disguise, because they could spend
all of their resources on helping each other. We are requiring members in these
other countries to live under all sorts of legal restrictions, somewhat the
same way as the Saints had to live in Rome. None of that is necessary or desirable except
that is the preferred business model of the Salt Lake City headquarters.
I don't see any good gospel purpose for any of it.
I was told by a person
who had once been a stake president, that the Church strives to keep a certain
balance between those who live in the United States, who are paying for almost
everything, and those in foreign countries who are spending a big part of that
money in their countries. The church in
these other countries cannot be allowed to get very large because the church
cannot "support them in the style to which the church would like them to
become accustomed," with buildings of specific kinds, unless they are
getting enough money from the United States.
It is nearly always a net loss overseas concerning contribution
revenues. It is always a major expense
(and sometimes a major embarrassment to the people receiving it) to support
these foreign groups of people, at least if we insist on having lots of nice
buildings for them. So it is good to
have the church be large in the United States where the church gets all its
money, but the churches in the rest of the world can't be allowed to get too
large because we can't spend more money on them than is supplied by the people
in Utah and elsewhere. That is the
balancing act on the money scene.
Of course, those are
all completely artificial barriers to growth in other countries, intentionally
imposed by the church headquarters itself to maximize its control and its
profits. After Christ, the church quickly spread through areas of Greece and
elsewhere with no impediments because the only thing the new members had to do was
take care of each other. There were no capital investment or start-up costs or
taxes required to do that.
Almost inconceivable to
today's church members, those early members did not have to send any tithing to
anyone, so there was no need for banking operations, big buildings, etc. Those
new members did not need to basically pay a franchise tax to some headquarters
unit somewhere in the world to be allowed to move forward according to certain
legalistic franchise rules enforced by a US religious corporate entity wrongly
claiming exclusive copyright ownership of all the gospel texts and concepts.
If the church let these
other areas of the world just do their own thing, as at the time of Christ, and
pay no tithing/salvation franchise tax in order to operate successfully, the US
members might suddenly get the idea in their heads that they didn't need to pay
any franchise (or temple ordinance) tax themselves, and then the whole
system would collapse (which is what needs to happen anyway). Priesthood
ordinances are all supposed to be free, especially
including temple ordinances.
The Salt Lake City people build buildings, but charge perhaps an
outrageous overhead charge of perhaps 500% for doing so and allow no
competition. They are a monopoly in this area and charge monopoly profits.
Perhaps they internally sometimes justify their enormous overhead charges using
that kind of government contract negotiation logic, although they would never
use that logic on the members.)
The church has been
engaged in a worldwide branding process which is unnecessary, but apparently
makes the Salt Lake City people feel more
important. They have greater control at the detail level in all these places,
it seems to them. This apparently helps teach and reinforce the claimed need to
pay a license or franchise tax for all church activities. And, there is
apparently a lot of money to be made in constructing church buildings, which
supports a whole construction bureaucracy of well-paid and
therefore naturally very supportive members.
The temple building/temple work strategy
Again, through trial
and error, church headquarters has discovered that, since the church tries to
do almost nothing to change the society around it, and engages in hardly any
measurable amount of charity, since doing serious charitable works can change societies, and
that is to be avoided at all costs, one has to decide what happens to people's
money and time in this headquarters-preferred situation. Building temples and doing temple work is actually a way of
distracting church members, intentionally using up their money and their
energies without allowing them to do anything that matters in the real
world.
It is all very fine for
members to do work for the dead. They can be reminded of how the plan of
salvation works and they can feel like they're contributing, but, more
importantly, they are being kept off the streets, so to speak. If people are convinced that the most
important thing they can do is work for the dead, as opposed to work for the
living, then that's going to keep them very tame. They send all their money to Salt Lake, they
spend all their church time doing things which are invisible to everyone else,
and there is no effect on the society, and the church can continue to seem
completely bland and completely ineffective as far as any of the typical
Christian activities would be. In other
words, the temple building and temple work projects are giant
make-work projects for church members to keep them from being active in the
lives of living people, and instead encouraging them to spend all their time
working on behalf of people who are not here and will not cause any trouble in
society no matter what you do for them. They will not change their earthly
attitudes or their votes, etc.
Spy
vs. spy
Our little group needs
to operate in a stealthy way, just like the church is operating in a stealthy
way around the world. We think we are
living in a Gospel society here in Utah, but we are not. We see the corruption
of our local governments, and the church must take a lot of the blame for that.
Since they will never support the Constitution anywhere else, why would they support it in
Utah? That would be acting inconsistently. We are gradually importing all the
wickedness of the world, and doing it intentionally, because the church leaders
think we need to blend with the world, not be a peculiar people who stand out
and who do important Christian things and who change societies.
So, the church itself
is part of the corruption here in Utah because they have imported it because it
seemed convenient. I think we have
finally reached the end of that possibility.
It should not be allowed to be stealthy anymore. The whole thing, the whole gospel project, is
collapsing and going up in smoke because they have let it "grow wild"
for so long, imagining that avoiding any active interference with the downward
slide of society was actually in their business interest. So now a big charitable project will have to
stay under the radar of the church for a while or they will try to squelch us
and squeeze us out. We need to be aware
of that, but simply not talk about it or make it much of an issue. We need to just go on our way and do what we
can legally on our own in a free country which is barely just still free.
The church will start
to feel like we are putting them in a bad light, making it seem like their old
business model of total passivity won't work and they can't keep claiming and
pretending that they are pushing the full gospel worldwide, when they are only
promoting the thinnest shadow of the real gospel. They are just building up trophies to get
money from United States people. It's
quite possible that they have been doing this so long that nobody at church
headquarters even knows what the basic strategy is -- they may just be
mindlessly continuing the "traditions of the fathers" by rote But I'm
sure there are some people who understand the strategy and enforce it, or it
would have gone a different way already.
We just need to be alert that we are playing a double game here, but
feel confident that we are doing the right thing, nonetheless.
Likely
church analysis and reaction
So perhaps we can
discuss what the church will probably think about this Leland project. Abortion has become a major political issue, perhaps
the biggest political issue of our times.
If we agree with the good Christians who were active in Rome in rescuing and adopting discarded babies, we
would want to do something about at least changing the effects of these pagan abortion rituals that are going
on, this infanticide. But to do that, we obviously will have a
political effect because we will be backing up the legislative work of the 17
Christian states who have decided to do what they can to minimize abortions that occur in their
states. I am assuming they will not have
a plan in effect to deal with the aftermath of the laws they pass. There will still be just as many unwanted
children, even if they are allowed to go to full term and be born, but they
will still be just as unwanted or perhaps more of them will be unwanted than
the million a year who have been killed through abortions. So, someone needs to give those states the
practical backup for their political crusade.
So, we will obviously then be right in the middle of a highly emotional
political issue.
We would be saying that
we believe in the sanctity of life which includes the right to life, the right
to be born, and that puts us squarely in conflict with the political left. We will be anything but bland. We will be sticking out like a sore thumb, as
they say.
All of this potential
political visibility is exactly what the church leaders will want to avoid
because that will hamper their "non-political, business franchise 'McDonald's' operation" work, as they see it, in other countries. It's interesting to note that the abortion rate in the rest of the
world, on a per capita basis, is about three times what it is in the United
States. In other words, the Christian
heritage of the United States has already kept the abortion rate quite low
compared to the rest of the world. If
the rest of the world sees LDS Church members here actively helping to lower
the number of abortions, and to find homes for
all of the children who are rescued, they are probably going to have numerous
bad reactions to that. For example, they might say "Someone is stealing
our children and using them against us by teaching them a different value system." Someone will fairly quickly figure that out
and be upset. Just the idea of confronting and resisting the political left (a
bland term for Satanism) is going to get us into deep trouble. The church will immediately want to stop this
process because, as they will likely see it, it will be threatening their
bureaucratic power and their stable income for all the reasons I mentioned
above. (It may take some intricate
reasoning to piece together the actual, possibly quite indirect, church reaction
since leaders are not in the habit of speaking candidly about policy matters).
So, not only will the
church probably decide not to help this project, it will likely engage in some
active efforts to stop it. There is a tiny chance that if we war-game this out
for them, and show that they have to support this project or become irrelevant
themselves, then maybe they will support it.
But that is extremely unlikely to begin with. The chances go up over time if the project is
successful.
The central
headquarters could decide to jump in and use all their assembled management
expertise to give such projects a rocket boost, but that would require an
enormous set of policy changes at church headquarters.
There is another aspect
here which needs to be mentioned. It is
likely that there are many church members who are quietly or even
subconsciously a little bit uneasy about what the Church has been doing, in the
last 50 years, of remaining completely passive on every important issue that
relates to religion and politics. Religion and politics are always
intertwined. There is no cure for
that. Politics is the way we show our
morality, and morality comes from religion, and there is no avoiding this
conflict. In the long-term, you have to
make a choice to go with Christianity or with Satanism, and unfortunately,
the LDS Church has decided that their short-term benefit is to go with the
political left on almost every issue, perhaps being just a few years behind
them so that they don't seem to be either too eager or too resistant.
Church members can
choose to continue to do more mostly invisible temple work, and pay for
building more temples that do almost nothing to change society, and
in this way the members can manage to do essentially no charity at all, or those members
can take the gospel bull by the horns, so to speak, and take the scriptures
seriously, and make charity our number one activity. If we devote billions of
dollars to charitable activities that could be quite noticeable in the sense
that we will be changing society for the better. In most cases that would be highly commended
by other Christians in our country and would be condemned by the
corrupt leaders and many of the people nationwide and worldwide. But the conflict would become very
clear. If church members then decide to
send their money to support these somewhat aggressive charitable activities
like limiting abortion and promoting the gathering -- which are
actually two unexpectedly interrelated aspects of the gathering, since they are
just different paths to get all the good spirits together -- then that will
potentially mean an immediate drop in the tithing income to the central church,
assuming they will refuse to use the tithing money for any of these highly
commendable charitable projects.
Incidentally, the
church members should be eagerly involved in correct education instead of
supporting corrupt state systems, that nearly all aggressively promote leftist
ideologies, so that would be another project which would be a subproject of the
Leland Project, providing the proper education for
the children that are saved from the fires of Moloch, as they used to say about ritual infanticide.
So, we need to be ready
to experience some pushback from the church and we might as well know why it's
happening, so we will not get too confused or discouraged. Unfortunately, church leaders have been very
clever in presenting to a politically unsophisticated church membership
arguments for what they do which seem semi-convincing. Unfortunately, the truth is, that the church
leadership have been skirting the truth and telling some outright lies in order
to keep their control over the income flow of tithing from church members. It's rather an unpleasant shock to discover
that LDS Church members have been manipulated so much for so long, but I think
we have finally reached the point where the real story has to be told and
people have to wake up.
The church should be at 200 million members
If the gospel were
being taught and practiced properly, after 200 years of operation I think it
would be at the 200 million level already, large enough to keep United States
on an even political keel. However, the church today is only teaching and
practicing about 25% of the gospel. We might find nearly all correct teachings
somewhere buried in the literature, but we are not DOING any of those things --
we don't support freedom, we don't do charity on a grand scale, we
don't resist abortion, etc., etc.
Last year, the church
apparently added only 3000 new long-term people to its active membership. That
is close enough to zero to call it zero. And it costs us at least $15 billion
in total member costs every year just to keep from shrinking.
Our growth rate is so
pitifully small, that it is hardly even worth discussing, but some of the
numbers the church puts out may seem confusing, so only for that reason it
might be worthwhile to present the various numbers and attempt to analyze and
compare them.
There Must Be More to
the Pro-Life Cause
May
16th, 2019
by
Erick Erickson
I
support legislation in Alabama, Georgia, and elsewhere to restrict killing
children behind the euphemism of abortion.
I
also think pro-lifers must do other things as well. Should we be successful,
there will be women carrying children they do not want and there will be women
who bear costs with no fathers around to help them. We must do more to provide
social stability for these moms.
Pro-lifers
must be willing to fight for adoption reform across the states. We should
support making it more efficient to adopt by cutting bureaucratic red tape. We
must work to end laws that allow mothers who give up their children to change
their minds once an adoption has gone through. We must work to encourage more
interracial adoptions.
We
must also work to improve the social safety net to help women. Churches need to
step up on this, not just taxpayers. This burden should be on the pro-life
community, not just the state. We need to make it easier for mothers to get
care they need. We need to make it easier for them to collect from deadbeat
dads. Frankly, we also need to make it easier for deadbeat dads to find jobs to
help pay for support. Sometimes a catch 22 develops where a father falls behind
on payments to help his children and goes to jail, even though he is trying to
earn money to help his child.
This
cannot be a “ban abortion” approach because then
the pro-life community will be accepting the abortion community’s critique that
we only care about children in the womb.
Additionally,
we need to understand the new fronts the left will open. Some activists will
work to curtail adoption choices through targeting faith-based adoption
agencies in the name of tolerance. They’ll shut off the avenues by which
adoptions can happen in the name of tolerance, then complain that the adoption
process is too burdensome and abortion is the answer.
Restricting
abortion is a good thing. It is killing a human being.
But restricting abortion without helping mothers and children is cruel. A
healthy pro-life community will step up and move beyond restrictions on
abortion towards greater social and community support for mothers with nowhere
to turn.
https://theresurgent.com/2019/05/16/there-must-be-more-to-the-pro-life-caus
Ohio Just Became the
Fifth State to Ban Abortion at 6 Weeks
Apr.
11, 2019 By Madeleine Aggeler
Ohio
has become the fifth state to ban abortion at six weeks. A so-called
“fetal heartbeat bill,” which outlaws abortion before most women even realize
they’re pregnant, passed the state legislature on Wednesday morning; newly
elected governor Mike DeWine signed it the next day.
Ohio
joins four other states that have passed similar six-week abortion bans: Mississippi,
Kentucky, Iowa, and North Dakota. In addition, Georgia passed a six-week
abortion ban back in March, and openly anti-abortion Governor Brian Kemp, who
has voiced his support for the bill, has until May 10 to sign it.
Heartbeat
bills ban all or most abortions once a heartbeat can be
detected — which is usually at the embryonic stage, around five or six weeks —
severely restricting the usual, legal threshold at which states can ban
abortion, which is considered
to be when a fetus is viable outside the womb (around 24 weeks). Such bills, in
effect, prohibit nearly all abortions, because they leave women with such a
small window in which to confirm they are pregnant, and then have the procedure
done.
While
these laws have all been challenged in court, and blocked from taking effect
because they run counter to Roe v. Wade, they are part of a larger effort to
eventually overturn Roe at level of
the Supreme Court, and a growing push against women’s reproductive rights in the
United States. Here is a closer look at what has happened with these bans in
each state.
Ohio
Ohio’s
fetal heartbeat bill was shut down twice before, by former governor John
Kasich. Ohio’s current governor, however, Mike DeWine, signed it shortly after
it passed the legislature. The ACLU has said it will challenge the measure as
soon as it is signed.
Georgia (passed; not yet signed by the governor)
Passed
in March, Georgia’s HB481, or the Living Infants Fairness and Equality (LIFE)
Act, would ban all abortions after six weeks,
including in cases of rape or incest. It also redefines who is considered to be
a “natural person,” expanding the term to include “an unborn child.” This new
definition would potentially make
mothers who receive abortions and doctors who administer them open to
criminal prosecution.
https://www.thecut.com/2019/04/which-states-have-passed-six-week-abortion-bans.html
New York abortion law allows infanticide
Posted:
Feb. 6, 2019 10:15 am
To
The Herald-Whig:
Democrats
hold many positions that I disagree with. But the one that has caused me the
greatest pain is abortion.
I
believe in the sanctity of life at any stage of development, but now the
Democrats have crossed a line that no civilized person, regardless of their
politics, should support.
The
Democrats are now stepping beyond abortion to infanticide. If you're not familiar with that term, it is the killing of a
baby after it is born, its heart pumping blood, its lungs pumping oxygen into
that blood. The infant can cry and smile, and it can take in nourishment,
either through its mother's breast or from a bottle.
New
York lawmakers, with the support of Democratic governor Andrew Cuomo, have
approved late-term abortions up to and including after
birth. The New York law, in addition to approving abortion at any stage of
pregnancy, also moves the state's abortion regulations from the criminal code
to the health codes, prohibiting criminal prosecution for medical professionals
who perform abortions. The Democratic governor of Virginia is pushing for a
similar law.
Under
the new law, in New York a medical professional is now defined as a licensed
physician, nurse practitioner, physician assistant and licensed midwives. And
under the new law, the decision to abort lies with the mother, regardless of
the baby's physical condition.
Whether
or not we choose to remain a civilized society will be decided in November
2020. If killing newborn babies doesn't bother you, vote Democratic. If you
have one shred of respect for human life, you have to vote Republican.
If
you believe abortion at any stage of development is OK, please go
to YouTube and type in the search box "Dr. Levatino destroys abortion in
two minutes." His description of a late-term abortion while testifying
before a congressional committee sickened me. Today, he no longer performs abortions except to save the life
of the mother.
William
Mussetter, Quincy
https://www.whig.com/20190206/new-york-abortion-law-allows-infanticide#
March
2018
Fact
Sheet
Induced Abortion Worldwide
GLOBAL
INCIDENCE AND TRENDS
•
During 2010–2014, an estimated 56 million induced abortions occurred each year
worldwide. This number represents an increase from 50 million annually during
1990–1994, mainly because of population growth.
•
As of 2010–2014, the global annual rate of abortion for all women of
reproductive age (15–44) is estimated to be 35 per 1,000, which is a reduction
from the 1990–1994 rate of 40 per 1,000.
•
The estimated global abortion rate as of 2010–2014 is
35 per 1,000 for married women and 26 per 1,000 for unmarried women.1
•
Women in developing regions have a higher likelihood of having an abortion than those in developed
regions—36 vs. 27 per 1,000.
•
Between 1990–1994 and 2010–2014, the abortion rate declined markedly in
developed regions, from 46 to 27 per 1,000, but remained roughly the same in
developing regions.
•
The annual number of abortions during the period fell in
developed regions, from about 12 million to seven million; in contrast, the
number increased in developing regions, from 38 million to 49 million, although
this change mainly reflects the growth of the reproductive-age population.
•
The proportion of abortions worldwide that occur in
developing regions rose from 76% to 88% between 1990–1994 and 2010–2014.
•
Globally, 25% of all pregnancies ended in abortion in 2010–2014. Between
1990–1994 and 2010–2014, the proportion of pregnancies ending in abortion fell
from 39% to 27% in developed countries, while it rose from 21% to 24% in developing
countries.1
https://www.guttmacher.org/fact-sheet/induced-abortion-worldwide
Was
Abortion the ‘Leading Cause of Death’ in 2018?
Leading
causes of death worldwide and abortion estimates -- two different measures?
Bethania Palma, Published
3 January 2019 -- Snopes
On 31 December 2018, the Breitbart.com website reported under the
headline “Abortion Leading Cause
of Death in 2018 with 41 Million Killed” that “there have been some 41.9
million abortions performed in
the course of the year,” making abortion “the number one cause of death worldwide in
2018, with more than 41 million children killed before birth.”
That article spawned a ripple of similar reports on
various other sites, most of which referred back to the Breitbart piece, which
itself rested on a figure gleaned from Worldometers, a real-time tool that “analyzes
the available data, performs statistical analysis, and builds our algorithm [to
feed our] real time estimates.” Worldometers states that its abortion figures refer to induced abortions (as opposed to
miscarriages), and that:
The data on abortions displayed on
the Worldometers’ counter is based on the latest statistics on worldwide
abortions published by the World Health Organization (WHO). According to WHO,
every year in the world there are an estimated 40-50 million abortions. This
corresponds to approximately 125,000 abortions per day.
However, the most recent figure on abortions from WHO we
could locate dated from 2014 and was slightly higher than Worldometers’ tally.
WHO estimated that between 2010
and 2014, an average of 56 million induced abortions occurred worldwide each
year.
If WHO’s estimate of 56 million abortions annually held
steady through 2016, when they released their survey on the top ten leading causes of
death globally, it would be true that the number of abortions worldwide
outnumbered overall deaths from heart disease and stroke, the top two causes of
death that year. In 2016, ischemic heart disease and stroke killed a total of
15.2 million people worldwide, according to WHO, noting that “These diseases
have remained the leading causes of death globally in the last 15 years”:
We can infer from WHO statistics that the difference
between the number of abortions worldwide
versus the number of deaths from heart disease and stroke worldwide is not a
new dynamic, although viral stories proclaiming that abortions “now” outnumber
deaths from those other causes imply that fact is a recent development.
Stating that abortion is the “leading cause of death” worldwide (as
opposed to a medical procedure) is a problematic pronouncement, because that
stance takes a political position, one which is at odds with the
scientific/medical world. The medical community does not confer personhood upon
fetuses that are not viable outside the womb, so counting abortion as a “cause
of death” does not align with the practices of health organizations such as WHO
and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), as Heather Boonstra,
director of public policy for the reproductive health research organization
Guttmacher Institute, told us:
Abortion is a legal,
constitutionally protected medical procedure in the United States. It’s not
considered a cause of death by CDC, WHO and other leading authorities, and
statistics on induced abortion are excluded in the CDC’s national fetal-death
statistics.
The legal, philosophical, religious, and scientific
arenas provide no definitive answers as to when personhood begins. Medical
advances continue to push the stage at which a fetus can be considered viable
outside the womb, as Wired reported in 2015:
When life begins is, of
course, the central disagreement that fuels the controversy over abortion. Attacks on abortion
rights are now more veiled and indirect — like secret videos pointing to
Planned Parenthood’s fetal tissue
donations, or state legislation that makes operating abortion clinics so
onerous they have to shut down. But make no mistake, the ultimate question is,
when does a fetus become a person — at fertilization, at birth, or somewhere in
between?
Here, modern science
offers no clarity. If anything, the past century of scientific advances have
only made the answer more complicated. As scientists have peered into wombs
with ultrasound and looked directly at sperm entering an egg, they’ve found
that all the bright lines they thought existed dissolving.
Concluding an entry on the topic, RationalWiki quotes
developmental biologist Scott Gilbert in saying that “The entity created by
fertilization is indeed a human embryo, and it has the potential to be human
adult. Whether these facts are enough to accord it personhood is a question
influenced by opinion, philosophy and theology, rather than by science.”
Although the U.S. Supreme Court ruling in the
landmark 1973 Roe. v. Wade case held that unduly restrictive
state regulation of abortion was unconstitutional, fetal personhood very
much remains a legal issue and not merely an abstract philosophical one. As
the New York Times reported, the enactment of
fetal personhood statutes in some states has resulted in the prosecution of
women over circumstances that ended or endangered their pregnancies:
You might be surprised
to learn that in the United States a woman coping with the heartbreak of losing
her pregnancy might also find herself facing jail time. Say she got in a car
accident in New York or gave birth to a stillborn in Indiana: In such cases,
women have been charged with manslaughter.
In fact, a fetus need
not die for the state to charge a pregnant woman with a crime. Women who fell
down the stairs, who ate a poppy seed bagel and failed a drug test or who took
legal drugs during pregnancy — drugs prescribed by their doctors — all have
been accused of endangering their children.
So what motivates these
prosecutions? The reality is that, in many cases, these women are collateral
damage in the fight over abortion. As the legal debate
over a woman’s right to terminate her pregnancy has intensified, so too has the
insistence of anti-abortion groups that fertilized eggs and fetuses be granted
full rights and the protection of the law — an extreme legal argument with
little precedent in American law before the 1970s.
Frustrated by the Roe
v. Wade decision that
legalized abortion, many in the anti-abortion movement hope for a
sweeping rollback under a conservative Supreme Court — one that
would block access to abortion even in states that protect women’s access to
such health services.
https://www.snopes.com/news/2019/01/03/abortion-leading-cause-of-death/
What the Alabama
Abortion Law Means for Women Across the Country
By
Macaela Mackenzie
November
7, 2018
The
results of Tuesday’s midterms marked a number of history-making elections for
women: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York became the youngest person ever
elected to Congress, Ilhan Omar of Minnesota and Rashida Tlaib of Michigan
broke barriers as the first Muslim women elected, Sharice Davids of Kansas and
Deb Haaland of New Mexico made major strides for Native American women with
their wins, and Jahana Hayes of Connecticut and Ayanna Pressley of
Massachusetts became the first black women to represent their states.
But
the historic elections aren’t just about who’s repping the country. New
abortion laws, which were voted on in three
states—Alabama, West Virginia, and Oregon—have implications for women across
the country. Two amendments passed last night are putting women's ability to
access safe abortions in jeopardy.
ALABAMA
Alabama’s
abortion measure, which passed by a wide margin, is
major. The amendment to the state’s constitution is what's called a “personhood
law,” which grants the right to life from the moment of conception.
Essentially, it means that in the state of Alabama, a fetus or embryo has the
same rights as a full-fledged person.
"They’ve
granted full rights to the unborn from the moment of conception—that means
fertilized eggs—while they strip away all of the rights for pregnant
women," says Yashica Robinson, M.D., a gynecologist in Alabama and a board
member of Physicians for Reproductive Health.
These laws are known as
“trigger laws,” which means if Roe v. Wade is overturned, they could
trigger an outright ban on abortion, criminalizing the procedure for women in those states.
The
threat to women's rights is bad enough, but abortion-rights supporters worry that the amendment might also
jeopardize infertility treatments like IVF. "In any type of assisted
reproductive technology treatment, most commonly in vitro fertilization,
embryos are formed," Dr. Robinson explains. "Generally, you’re going
to form more embryos than you’re going to use." What happens to those
unused embryos is already a hotly debated issue, and Alabama's newly minted
amendment could make the issue of disposing of unused embryos even murkier.
"The way this amendment was written, it seems like it’s just about
abortion, but it clearly says that it protects the rights of the unborn—and
that’s from the moment of creation," Dr. Robinson says.
The
approved amendment states that no provisions in Alabama’s constitution provide
a woman with the right to have an abortion—no exceptions for cases of rape, incest, or when the life of
the mother is at risk.
For
Dr. Robinson, that's not only "devastating"; it violates her duty as
a physician. "As a physician I’ve taken an oath to do what’s best for my
patients. That means advocating for access to health care for them that values
their privacy, their autonomy, and their dignity," she says. "My job,
even when it's a hard decision to make, is to counsel the patient and help them
to make health care decisions that are best for them. [The amendment will] harm
patients and bind the hands of physicians."
WEST VIRGINIA
West
Virginia also passed a ballot measure that will restrict women’s access to abortion. Just as in Alabama, West Virginia's Amendment 1 paves the way
to criminalize abortion, stripping women of protections to their federal right
to an abortion. The amendment also strips state funding for abortions through insurance
programs like Medicaid.
"Being
able to pay for an abortion is a key part of being
able to access an abortion," says Yamani Hernandez, executive director of
the National Network of Abortion Funds. "The reason why abortion funds
exist is because abortion is out of reach for so many."
State
laws that strip funding for abortion care, often
disproportionately affect disadvantaged women, she says. "This is
something that we consider to be discriminatory, something that targets people
of color and people with lower incomes and discriminates against people based
on the insurance coverage that people have."
“We need legislators
across the country to understand that abortion is health care, health
care is a right, and a right is not a right if every patient can’t afford to
access it.”
(Oregon
voted on a similar ballot measure, which proposed ending state funding of
abortion except when the procedure was medically
necessary, but it was voted down by a wide margin.)
So
what does this mean for women's rights to reproductive care across the U.S.?
Alabama and West Virginia’s newly approved abortion amendments are important
on a national level. Laws like the newly passed amendments in Alabama and West
Virginia are known as “trigger laws,” which means if Roe
v. Wade is overturned, they could trigger an outright
ban on abortion, criminalizing the procedure for women in those states, The
Washington Post reports. (In an NBC poll taken yesterday, two thirds of voters
supported keeping the landmark ruling that grants the right to an abortion in
place.)
This
possibility is what worries abortion activists the most.
"It makes our work dramatically more urgent and important, because if that
starts to happen, it’s going to make travel to get abortions even harder,"
Hernandez says. "People are already traveling hundreds of miles to get an
abortion. This makes the legal right to abortion completely out of reach for
too many. "
In
other areas of the country, voters elected officials with track records of
fighting for reproductive health like Jacky Rosen and Tina Smith (who is a
former Planned Parenthood employee). “In 2018
voters made their voices heard loud and clear: They want elected officials who
champion reproductive health care and will stand up for women," Dawn
Laguens, executive vice president of the Planned Parenthood Action Fund, said
in a statement sent to Glamour.
Hernandez
says those victories are cause to be optimistic about the future—she's not
giving up on health care funding that includes abortion care. “We need
legislators across the country to understand that abortion is health
care," Willie Parker, M.D., board chair of Physicians for Reproductive
Health, said in a statement sent to Glamour. "Health care is a right, and
a right is not a right if every patient can’t afford to access it.”
https://www.glamour.com/story/what-alabama-abortion-law-means-for-women-across-the-country
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