Chapter 20
A major charitable activity suggestion
concerning reducing abortions
This would be like conditions in Rome where saving
discarded babies
was a signature Christian activity
"Charity never faileth"
Except, in our case, it has already failed, or
we have failed it.
The first
principle of the practical Christian gospel is active charity. Unfortunately, today the first operating
principle of the LDS Church is to require all members to pay all religious
contributions to the central church where it is spent on everything BUT
charity. The limited available reports indicate that less than 1% of the
tithing money received centrally goes to charity. The central offices contain
nearly ALL our welfare cases, so to speak. That kind of behavior will never
convince anyone that we actually believe in and practice serious charity,
raising the question as to whether we actually believe in the tenets of
Christianity.
The text at
1 Corinthians 13 is probably the most forceful argument for the importance of
charity, and it appears that this kind of charity was indeed
practiced by the Saints who lived during the life of Christ and for at least
300 years afterwards.
1 Corinthians 13
Paul discusses the high status of charity—Charity, a pure love,
excels and exceeds almost all else.
1 Though I speak with
the tongues of men and of angels, and have not charity, I am become as
sounding brass, or a tinkling cymbal.
2 And though I have the
gift of prophecy, and understand all mysteries, and all knowledge; and though I
have all faith, so that I could remove mountains, and have not charity, I am nothing.
3 And though I bestow
all my goods to feed the poor, and though I give my body to be burned, and have
not charity, it profiteth me nothing.
4 Charity suffereth
long, and is kind; charity envieth not; charity
vaunteth not itself, is not puffed up,
5 Doth not behave itself
unseemly, seeketh not her own, is not easily provoked, thinketh no evil;
6 Rejoiceth not in
iniquity, but rejoiceth in the truth;
7 Beareth all things,
believeth all things, hopeth all things, endureth all things.
8 Charity never
faileth:
but whether there be prophecies, they shall fail; whether there be tongues,
they shall cease; whether there be knowledge, it shall vanish away.
9 For we know in part,
and we prophesy in part.
10 But when that which
is perfect is come, then that which is in part shall be done away.
11 When I was a child, I
spake as a child, I understood as a child, I thought as a child: but when I
became a man, I put away childish things.
12 For now we see
through a glass, darkly; but then face to face: now I know in part; but then
shall I know even as also I am known.
13 And now abideth
faith, hope, charity, these three; but the greatest of these is charity.
So,
with this theoretical understanding of the importance of charity, what would an
appropriate latter-day charitable works program look like? Perhaps it could
begin with a basic, efficient, charity-based social insurance system that would
gradually replace all the others in the world, at least for members of the
church. It might then set the goal of going on to administer an annual budget
of about $200 billion for active charity projects designed to improve many
aspects of earth life.
Hopefully,
we would be at least 10 times more efficient and effective than anyone else in
administering charity. We could replace
Catholic Relief Services and become many times larger and more influential than
they ever were. It is not clear today why the LDS Church has any association
with the Catholic Relief Services, since we should be perfectly able to do our
own charitable works, if we so chose.
Project
scale
To get some rough idea
of how big an effective Christian charity-based project might
need to be to completely change the direction of our nation, we might start
with the observation that a US presidential campaign costs about $1 billion
these days, or maybe up to $2 billion. That is one rough measure of how much
influence on the world $1 billion of focused effort can accomplish. By various
estimates, the LDS church receives between $15 billion and $50 billion a year
and has about $100 billion in reserves,
indicating that the church could execute the equivalent of up to 150
presidential campaigns if it chose to.
If we said that the
colleges and universities of the United States absorbed about $500 billion each
year, and the K-12 education systems absorbed another $500 billion, that would
give us an idea of what it would take to counteract or replace the corrupt and
pagan-philosophy-dominated school systems of our country. The
mainstream media probably absorbs about $50 billion a year, and Hollywood might
absorb something like $10 billion a year. The Social Security system absorbs about $500 billion a year and
the Medicare systems absorbs about $300 billion a year. Directly counteracting
or replacing all of these currently powerful and even controlling secular
influences on the people of the nation could require as much as $1.8 trillion
every year. It is quite possible that it would not take anywhere near that
amount to completely overturn all these negative influences, if we were clever
in our strategy, but we may not know
the answer to that question until we are well into some kind of a
countercultural project.
The
main point here is to think big and not settle for just a small amount of local
influence, although that is a good place to start. The state of Utah ought to
be a model society on every level, but it is currently far from that. For
example, corruption of the court system seems both very deep and very blatant.
Getting Utah straightened out would give us some good experience and show other
people that it can be done.
It
seems highly likely that we could assemble many allies in this process of
fixing the degenerate culture of the United States, but someone needs to do the
research and experimenting and lead out to help people move along new paths
with confidence. That should be our first focus.
People
today are generally so misinformed and confused on so many topics, that perhaps
the first priority ought to be to improve the education process on every level.
Education should
be paramount. Everyone knows that it is better to teach a man to fish so that
he can take care of himself for life, rather than just to hand him a fish that
will feed him for one day. But the same education philosophy probably goes for
many other aspects of life such as teaching a person how to understand politics
well and how to vote wisely so that he can help repair a broken society, as
opposed to trying to perform some vague "nation-building" projects
without the full ideological support of the populace.
Administration
costs
One
way to improve the effectiveness of charities is to lower their administration
costs so that more money gets to the desired goal instead of being eaten up by
the process. It would be ideal if those who administer charity programs were not themselves receiving a
salary, although they might indeed have their travel and communications
expenses paid for. Keeping it all volunteer has a way of ensuring that only
those who are doing the tasks for the right reasons will stay involved.
The
participants would be doing their personal charity and "paying their tithing" by doing
this work. We should end up with good, high-powered people working for free, or
at least without salary. The church
could pay all administrative costs so that 100% of contributions, even from
outsiders, go to the intended purposes. For example, the church might expend
$200 million, mostly on travel and communications costs, to administer $200
billion. That would give us the remarkable result of having only 0.1% in
administrative costs. That nearly perfect administration system should
encourage everyone with good intentions to contribute to these projects.
Ideally, we
would develop plans and projects and test them, and then request large sums of
money from like-minded people in and out of the church, based on the results of
our pilot programs. This method of administration should bring in enormous
amounts of outside money.
Macroeconomic effects
Another long-term goal
of this project is to change the basic economics of an entire nation. Instead
of continuing to support [allowing] the wasteful and constraining tax-and-spend
government programs for retirement and medical care, which alone typically
capture 15.2% of a person's income, all of those programs should be gradually
replaced with a charity-based program which is easily 2 1/2 times more efficient
and will probably be five times more efficient when operating correctly. That should
have the effect of lowering taxes, since the biggest portion of government
spending, perhaps 80%, is related to so-called "entitlement" spending
for "charitable" purposes which has non-gospel effects on citizens,
encouraging greed, fraud, waste, and abuse, which, together, double or triple
the cost to deliver the desired services. This all has a "virtuous
spiral" effect so that increasing charity decreases destructive taxes
which then allows for more charity, or free will-based services. Getting rid of
the vast inefficiencies of an atheist culture allows a gospel-based culture to
shine and become "the city on the hill" which every instinctively
good person wants to be part of.
When the Social
Security program was first
begun, there was an option to start an alternative system for pensions which
could use free-market principles along with a few government contribution
parameters. Numerous groups took advantage of that alternative system. The
might most widely known cases are the three counties in Texas which is which
adopted this alternate system. The participants in that program receive
somewhere between 2.4 and five times greater pension benefits from that system.
The participants actually own the money and can spend it themselves or give to
the children, as opposed to the Social Security system where you only receive
the money as long as you're alive. If you live until your 85, you do well. If
you die at age 65, you get nothing. This problem disappears with the alternate
systems used by these three Texas counties.
I
think it is interesting that if the church had encouraged such systems in the
1930s, the people who have reaped church members who have retired since then,
calculating as 5 million retirees over a 50 year period, would have received
$10 trillion more than they did
receive through the government pension program. One can do rather large amount
of missionary work, or education work, or other good in the world with $10
trillion in extra money, with no extra fees involved. If the church had
sponsored such a system when it was possible, the church members as a group
would be receiving about $200 billion a year more than they are receiving now
from government systems. That extra free money could easily fund most of the
projects suggested here. With an administrative system which applies almost
100% of funds to the intended target audience, I believe many other people in
the world will want to offer to support our programs.
The
abortion avoidance/rescue/orphanage project
What
follows are the segments of a brochure I put together to try to inform people
about a much-needed charitable project and to seek their support.
Introduction
The basic
problem we start out with is that there are about one million abortions each year in the
United States, and nearly 60 million worldwide. These are staggering numbers
which mean that a population the size of the United States is prevented from
coming to earth every five years.
We should
notice that the number of abortions worldwide is about
three times as high per capita as we see today in the United States:
Calculation:
For the world: 60 million abortions/6 billion people = 1%.
For the United States: 1 million abortions/300 million people = 0.3%.
Presumably
that is because the United States is still the most Christian country in the
world and still values life more than anyone else. Unfortunately, if the
rapidly growing number of pathologically self-centered pagans in United States
have their way, the number of abortions each year in the
United States will gradually rise to about 3 million. That would put us on a
par with the rest of the world. We should at least try to keep this one million
number from rising any more in the United States, up to the 3 million level,
even if we cannot set up a system to do something about the nearly 60 million
potential beneficiaries of our program worldwide. In general, as we reach for a
worldwide Zion, we should want to
make the earth a more welcoming place for everyone, especially for new babies.
State-level
antiabortion efforts
It is
wonderful to see at least 17 of the 50 states working hard to minimize or end abortions in their states.
But, unfortunately, it seems likely that, as a practical matter, most people
seeking abortions do so because they do not want to raise that child for some
reason, so if states are successful in limiting abortions, the number of
unwanted children, potential foster children, could go up substantially.
Also,
unfortunately, these same antiabortion states don't seem to be doing much to
adapt for or prepare for the likely effects of having success with their antiabortion policies. Perhaps we can say that their
Christianity goes far enough to want to avoid abortions, which is a good thing, but not far enough to try to solve
all the problems that cause people to want to limit their offspring through abortions.
So, it
appears that someone needs to provide a large and practical system that will do
something about those impending consequences.
If limiting abortions means we simply have
more child neglect or abuse or even infanticide, those states will not have actually made much of a
positive difference but may make worse the whole process of the birth and
rearing of children. Hopefully, one
element of a successful program will be to help mothers and fathers understand
the value of life and be willing and able to raise these children
themselves. If we cannot empower those
parents, perhaps we can help in another way. We might start with providing a
comfortable place where women can go to be cared for themselves until they give
birth. If all else fails to get every child into a loving home, the child can
be temporarily placed in our orphanage.
Some
program limitations
One great
difficulty is that, at the beginning, we will certainly not be able to care for
all the nation's one million rejected babies, so we will have to engage in some
kind of selection or triage process to choose the limited number of children we
can assist and offer a nice life. Those outcomes may be determined for us in
most cases, but there will surely come times when we have to choose.
Unfortunately,
to create a viable and successful system we will probably have to focus on
trying to save those children who are best equipped to live a successful and
productive life. If we only choose the
sick and disabled children at first, those very ones who might seem the most
pitiful and needful at the beginning, we may not be able to give them the much
higher and longer term help they need.
We might find that those extreme resources, needed for one such child,
could possibly be used to successfully raise 10 healthy children to maturity.
A large and
successful general population can absorb and support a small percentage of
seriously disabled children, but we would not start out with anything like a
large "general population." But, hopefully, the long-term success of
the program contemplated here, will include grown children giving back to the
process, like alumni of any school, possibly including adopting some of these
children themselves. That bootstrapping process should finally allow a large
number of "institutionalized" or severely disabled children to be
cared for within the system we create. Otherwise there is the risk that we
might swamp and overwhelm the system with unbearable failure and sadness that
never goes away.
We
are not quite the same as Sparta, Athens, or the Eskimos. We don't have to
decide to discard a child or keep it. We simply have to decide that since we
cannot keep all the children, we simply keep the ones who are most likely to be
successful, and we continue that way until we can find a way to accept all
unwanted children.
Long-term
considerations -- exponential growth?
There
is another interesting issue here. The healthy and strong ones can grow up to
have children of their own which they will probably value more than their
parents valued them. This means that the number of "lives" that we
are helping will grow exponentially, which seems like a good idea. If only the
weak and sickly are saved, they are not likely to have any progeny of their
own, or be able to take care of them if they did. So, if we are trying to
optimize and maximize the number of spirits who can come to the earth and have
a good experience, then we would want to start out focusing on those who can be
successful.
Very
long-term considerations -- genetic entropy
For
purposes of the proposed project (and for the church more generally), we also
have the very long-term problem that the human genome is continuing to
deteriorate rapidly over time. After 300+ generations of humans on this earth,
the mutation load is becoming critical. The number of chronic, genetics-related
diseases goes up at a relatively fixed rate of about 0.7% a year, inexorably.
This means that, by now, about 50% of all living people have at least one
significant genetic disease. Diabetes and heart disease seem to be widespread
current genetic diseases, but the rate of cancer is also going up, especially
cancer among children. The occurrence of autism, which is apparently
genetically related to childhood cancer, seems to be going up at a frightening rate.
At some
point in the near future, perhaps in as little as 100 years or about five
generations away, children may be born with such an overwhelming set of genetic
problems, that they will not be able to survive after birth. This indicates
that one of the very long-term goals of this project ought to be to do the
medical research necessary to understand and deal with this long-term genetic
entropy problem, to the
extent that that is even possible. Our society is probably already devoting
enough resources to medical research in general that they should be able to
take on this research problem and devise the best available solutions. However,
in general, the researchers appear to be so blinded by the false theories and
speculations of atheistic organic evolution that they will never
focus these available resources in the most fruitful places. Changing that
pagan philosophy and
refocusing those resources ought to be one eventual goal of this project.
Christ
quickly drew many tens of thousands of people to his new religion, partly
because he demonstrated the power to heal people of every imaginable disease,
and even to raise them from the dead. At the present moment, it seems quite unrealistic for a
modern-day church to offer anything like those levels of healing powers to
people. However, if it turns out there IS any way for the church to offer
healing powers on that scale, that would be an extremely powerful indication to
the world that the church had the truth, and they would naturally flock to it.
It might even provide a way to resolve the unpleasant practical and ethical
difficulty of not being able to heal and help every child that comes into the
world with an imperfect body.
The Leland Farms Project
A vigorous Christian response to the growing
pagan practices of
abortion and infanticide in our nation
Thanksgiving
Point Curiosity Museum -- a sample of
possible facilities to brighten children's lives.
Short Version
Leland Farms
Orphanage, farm, and schools
A 600-acre complex with orphanages, farms,
schools, and colleges,
plus appropriate housing for residents and
visitors.
Education
The
focus will be on education, and there will be facilities to promote education
at every level.
Demographics:
For
planning purposes, assume an eventual population of 16,000 orphans of all ages,
although a much smaller size would still be beneficial and feasible
Funding:
There
is a $0 funding option, a $1 million funding option, and a $3 billion funding
option explored.
LDS
families care about people and tend to be generous, so that it should be
reasonable to expect a final investment or endowment of $3 billion, if the
concept proves to be as valuable as it seems.
Volunteer staff:
Thousands
of families in the Utah Valley area, especially those who are retired, spend
large amounts of volunteer time on religion-related projects. Hopefully, these
same groups of people would be willing to act as volunteer grandparents or Big
Brothers/Big Sisters for the orphanage children.
History and philosophy
The
early Christians were known for rescuing rejected children who
had been "exposed" to the elements
by other Roman citizens. Some of those
children died anyway, and were given a Christian burial. In some cases, pagan people took these
rejected children and turned them into slaves, but of course the Christians did
not turn them into slaves, but kept them as their own children. This added to
the ranks of the Christians in Rome, and presumably in other cities as well, since the
exposing of unwanted children was a common practice in that society. We seem to be repeating all the practices and
problems of Rome today.
https://earlychurchhistory.org/medicine/infanticide-in-the-ancient-world/
Expansion:
If
another orphanage were to be created in St. George Utah, that
could be something similar to what is planned for Utah Valley, with even better
weather. There would likewise probably be tens of thousands of honorary
grandparents readily available to help out the project.
Instructive examples:
1.
A Child’s Hope Foundation. “Our Mission: Lifting Orphans from Surviving to
Thriving”
www.achildshopefoundation.org/about/
-- Orem Utah headquarters, assists orphanages in Bulgaria, China, Mongolia, Ukraine, Peru, South Korea, Haiti, and Mexico,
with more intense support for one orphanage in Haiti and three
in Mexico.
2.
Southern Virginia University is a private liberal arts college located in Buena
Vista, Virginia. The school, though not officially affiliated with a particular
faith, embraces the values of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints.
www.svu.edu
Longer
Version
Leland Farms
Orphanage, farm, and schools
A 600-acre complex with orphanages, farms,
schools, and colleges,
plus appropriate housing for residents and
visitors.
I
prefer the term "boarding school" to such terms as orphanage or group home, since
the term "orphanage" has mostly gone out of style these days. The
"boarding school" term tends to emphasize the learning part of this
process. I fear that the term "orphanage" brings to mind the idea of
rows of cribs which act as cages for children who are kept from exploring the
world around them.
It
would be ideal if we had the money immediately available to take a 600-acre
block of land and turn it into a kind of planned "theme park," a
"curiosity museum" even larger than the one at Thanksgiving point,
with the entire Leland Farms project being designed for the maximum
learning opportunities of children from age 0 through age 18. To imagine the
broadest possible view, the project might begin on the east side with
facilities to assist mothers who wish to give up their babies for adoption,
with the "output" at the west end of the project, where young people
have completed high school or even college work and are ready to take their
place as adults in our society, having learned all the most important things
about the world we live in, including the importance of religion..
The two major factors
1.
I believe that Leland is a truly unique place which has been kept
from being overrun by the normal population for a purpose which is quite
different than just general economic progress. It is hard to imagine anywhere
else in the world where you could easily name six or eight bishops or past
bishops in the LDS church who own substantial amounts of property which are
essentially contiguous. There are many other good people who are have not been
LDS bishops but who subscribe to that same philosophy and might be willing to
help this project in some way.
On
the pure economics of the situation, I'm guessing that, except for the land
right around the Benjamin exit, which
will probably bring a major premium in land prices, the rest of the land in
Leland is likely to be sold at about the same price
whether it is sold to a standard commercial developer who is going to put in
homes, or whether it is sold to a charitable organization for an extensive
orphanage facility. The charitable organization might
actually be able to pay the current land owners more, if they wish, and the
payment of that money could take place in ways which might be more creative
than might be typical for a standard commercial developer.
2.
The battle of good and evil is accelerating every day in our nation, and one of
the areas of greatest conflict concerns the bringing of new babies into the
world. The atheistic political left considers that women should have the
availability of abortion on demand, paid for by the government. About 1
million babies are aborted each year in the US, and, if the political left has
its way, that number will soon rise to 3 million a year which would put the
United States at the same rate as the rest of the world. Presumably the fact
that Christianity still exists in the United States is what keeps the abortion
rate much lower, but that may not continue for long. (Worldwide, there are
about 56 million abortions a year as opposed to the United States' 1
million abortions. The US is about 1/20 of the world population, so,
theoretically, there should be about 3 million abortions a year in the US. ~60/20=~3)
There
is a very active political battle in progress. The godless left wants the Roe V Wade decision to be an eternal rule, while many of
the states are putting all the restraints on abortion which they
reasonably can, while undergoing constant scrutiny and litigation by the left.
In at least one case, Georgia, the state hopes to be the means of overturning Roe V Wade. There is quite a patchwork
of legislative results reached in the various states. There are currently 17
states that ban abortions beginning at 20 weeks. The latest move is for
one of those states, Ohio, probably to be soon joined by Georgia, to ban
abortions after six weeks when a baby's heartbeat can be detected. Technically,
most babies have a heartbeat at five weeks, but apparently the legislatures
have chosen six weeks as their target. Advances in medical science have made
the Roe V Wade decision vulnerable to
challenge, since that decision is based on the fact that there was no consensus
then about when a child becomes a person. Georgia is declaring that a baby
becomes a "natural person" at six weeks and is granted all the protection
of the state, including the right to child support, the right to be claimed as
a dependent, and the right to be included in George's population counts.
School curricula:
Montessori
experiential schools and homeschooling are very popular in the state of Utah,
and there are numerous excellent and well-tested curricula available. These
methods also take full advantage of extensive online resources, many of them
free. They offer a very frugal alternative to expensive public education with
its enormous investment in centralized schools and the related busing systems.
The assumption is that this entire operation, including the schools, will
operate mostly independently of government and church funding and
administration systems and the related politics concerning warped values. The
hope is that the farming activities could make the whole operation mostly
self-sustaining, while also providing educational and productive work to the
orphans and volunteers.
History and philosophy
-- more
The
early Christians were known for rescuing rejected children who
had been "exposed" to the elements
by other Roman citizens. Some of those
children died anyway, and were given a Christian burial. In some cases, pagan people took those rejected
children and turned them into slaves, but of course the Christians did not turn
them into slaves, but kept them as their own children, in the process rejecting
two immoral aspects of Roman society. This added to the ranks of the Christians
in Rome, and presumably in
other cities as well, since the exposing of unwanted children was a common
practice in that society. We seem to be
repeating all the practices and problems of Rome today. https://earlychurchhistory.org/medicine/infanticide-in-the-ancient-world/
I'm
guessing that besides adding the children to the Christian ranks, other people
who were sympathetic with the Christian value system were also drawn to that
group of believers, offering a double sociological benefit to saving those
children. We do know that the early
Christians eventually grew to be the largest single
religious group in the Roman Empire.
It
would be useful to have more detailed statistics on the whole topic of children
who might be well served by an orphanage, but it is instructive to learn that there are about 1
million abortions a year in the United States and a total of
about 56 million abortions worldwide each year. Many other children are born
alive but are not wanted, leading to abandoned children or infanticide, plus the classical orphans in cases where parents have
passed away. I read of one case in Brazil where 200 children out of 1000 were
killed or left to die by their parents. These are all staggering numbers, and
it would take some heroic efforts to begin to do what the early Christians did in saving
unwanted children, but on a worldwide scale. When you realize that every six
years the entire population of the United States is lost to abortions
worldwide, one might see this as an amazing opportunity to do good or as
nothing more than a depressing statistic. One year's loss of life through
intentional abortion or infanticide would replace the entire LDS
church population three times. The 60 million children who have been aborted
since 1973 in the United States would easily replace all those workers who are
now being supplied in the form of desperate immigrants from South American and
Central American countries.
Potential participating
landowning families:
Larsen,
Larson, Eaton, Christensen, Creer, Swenson, Nielsen, Westwood, Isaac,
Baadsgaard, et al.
Some possible practical
factors
1. County assistance to
farmers
The
county government for Utah County is considering a proposal to assist new
farmers in being able to make a living on a farm. The County is proposing to
give some kind of assistance to lower the beginning capital costs required to
operate a farm profitably. This will be difficult, of course, because there is
a constant upward pressure on the cost of land, making it very difficult to get
a proper return on investment in land and the equipment required to work it.
2. Conservation
covenants
In
many places, land owners have the option to limit the future use of their land
for themselves, their families, and others, by making a long-term commitment to
keep the land close to its original form. That might apply in Leland if some of those who
own land would wish to make that commitment. Perhaps that commitment would be
easier to make if there was some remuneration for those landowners at the
beginning. Using land for the charitable purposes suggested here may be far
more valuable than using it for ordinary residential purposes. This needs to be
explored quickly before the option passes of being able to do such a thing on a
grand scale.
3. Dual-use
construction
There
is also the interesting possibility that if Leland were developed for
purposes of supporting a large population of orphans and related people and
facilities, that development might itself look very much like regular
residential development. The main difference might be that the homes would be a
little larger, with more bedrooms, so that they could be suitable for operating
as group homes. It seems ideal if a new development can be created for the very
purpose of orphanage-style operations. At
least there would be no backlash later on as might happen if someone first
developed the area as a standard residential area and then tried to move it
piecemeal to becoming an orphanage-style operation. The typical Not in My
Backyard (NIMBY) reaction would never have a reason to exist. If the project
were not successful or if the concept or the location changed, those original
houses might be repurposed to normal residential living much more easily than
going the other way.
4. The current planning
status
The
surrounding cities of Spanish Fork, Salem, and Payson seem to be aggressively
pursuing development of this area. It may seem like a sensible thing to do, but
I don't know of any requirement for the cities to press for this kind of
development. Presumably the cities are only driven by the opportunity to
increase taxes on developed land and therefore grow the size of the city
administration. However, the cities are theoretically supposed to be the
servants of the people who live there, not their masters. If the people in the
nearby areas where there is still raw land wish to restrict the growth of the
cities and the growth of the city's power over those large parcels of raw land,
that seems like something which should be possible. There is nothing inevitable
about having to accept this kind of aggressive growth, for no other reason than
for growth's sake. It is my opinion that many cities in Utah County have far
too grand view of their own purposes and powers, and that attitude ought to be
reset. Representative government is supposed to work at the local level, not
just in Washington DC.
It
may be that it would make a great deal more sense to leave Leland intact and to direct
the typical developmental growth toward areas which are to the west of Leland,
simply skipping over Leland. The commuter bedroom communities for offices along
the Wasatch front easily extend down to Santaquin and beyond. There is no
obvious reason why this particular tract of 1200 acres ought to be so avidly
sought by city managers. Perhaps it would make more sense to start someplace
like Benjamin or Lakeshore and upgrade the status of their cities and appoint THEM
to be the ones who are annexing land for residential and business purposes.
They would almost certainly be more democratic in how they planned for
residential expansion.
I
understand that Spanish Fork has zoned one area for 500 homes, and Salem has zoned
another area for 1500 homes, and that Target stores has bought land near the Benjamin
exit, and that Salem is planning to build a sewer facility in the area of Benjamin
exit. But none of these things seem inevitable or even particularly necessary.
It may be slightly cheaper to provide utilities for Leland from the existing
cities, but it should only be a minor change in cost to leave Leland intact,
jump the freeway going west and then continue development there. The general flow
of water is obviously from the mountains to the lake, and there's no particular
reason to stop at any particular point along that drainage slope to emphasize
one area over another. "Doing what comes naturally" may not seem so
natural if there are other important factors to be considered, such as the
"boarding school" option.
I
believe there are areas near Spanish Fork, Salem, and Payson that are rather
low quality as far as farming possibilities are concerned. It seems obvious
that those areas should be first moved into residential use before the
higher-quality farmland is bothered. Perhaps that is what is already happening
with the zoning of Spanish Fork and Salem, but I don't know the reasoning
behind what they are doing.
A few interview results:
1. One
local landowner had two reactions to the idea. One was that there are many
people who want to adopt, and there are far too few babies for them to
adopt. On the other hand, the real
difficulty, as he sees it, is in convincing pregnant mothers to go full term
and give birth to their babies when there is abortion on demand where the
government pays for the medical costs which make it free to the mother. Many
adoptions can be very expensive, rising to as much as $50,000. There are still
apparently more people who are willing to pay that amount than there are babies
for them to adopt. That should give us a few clues about how the various
programs might be set up.
He was not
certain that it was necessary to build a big physical plant to make a big
difference. That is a good point if we would like to get some kind of program
going quickly. Obviously, if we delay as long as possible building any
structures for an orphanage, we can do a lot of work at minimal cost in exploring who
the children and families might be who would benefit from such facilities.
In
contrast, I would observe that this may be a chicken and egg situation: if we
have the facilities, then it's much easier to make it clear that we are
prepared to take good care of any children that are entrusted to us. Perhaps
beginning with building or renting a single group home, perhaps with 8-10
bedrooms, would be one way to kick off the project, get some office space, and
get some experience with the whole process.
2. A
Spanish Fork-based builder thought the general idea of a high-quality orphanage was a good one. He
is very much aware of the state's efforts to build housing for people in need,
but there is no state follow-up program to make sure these people get the
individual help or encouragement they need.
The Basic Church Statistical Picture
Church growth
statistics help explain what's happening to the church worldwide
Introduction
The
last five years of church statistics show that almost everything is in decline
as far as membership growth rates are concerned. There are fewer missionaries,
fewer children of record added, fewer converts, fewer members added, fewer
missions, and fewer districts. There is a small increase in the number of stakes,
wards and branches, and church service missionaries. It is not clear why the
numbers of stake organizations and wards or branches are going up, while almost
everything else is going down, unless perhaps there was some decision made to
increase the levels and concentration of local organizations in hopes of
increasing local control and perhaps using that method to stimulate growth
through more intensive administration. The increase in the number of church
service missionaries, while the number of full-time missionaries keeps
dropping, may be related numbers. That could easily happen if fewer people
chose the more rigorous full-time mission option which usually involves more
travel, and instead chose the more local and less rigorous service mission option.
Only an increase of
3,000 in new long-term members from 2017 to 2018? Or was it a net loss?
The
statistics which the church supplies publicly are interesting, but they are far
from thorough, leaving us to guess about what is happening in many situations.
For dramatic effect I want to focus on the apparent gain of only 3,000
long-term active members during the year of 2018. But even a gain of 3,000
might be a stretch. It could easily be a net loss after all the factors are
considered. I calculate that 3,000 by noticing that there was only an increase
of 30 wards and branches worldwide. It would be much more helpful if we knew
exactly how many branches and exactly how many wards were added, instead of
seeing only a combined total. To get
around that lack of more exact information, I'm going to assume that the
average size of branches and wards is 100. Branches are smaller and wards are
bigger, but 100 might be a reasonable average size. So, obviously, 30x100
equals 3,000. But notice that we have 30,536 wards and branches. If the church,
on average, lost one person from each of those wards or branches, that would be
a loss of 30,536 active members. That could mean that there was actually a net
loss of about 27,536. The point is, that we are getting so close to zero
growth, that we can't actually be sure which way it went. I will supply some
other numbers later which will make it seem more like it was indeed a year in
which the church had a net loss in active members.
Starting
with some of the basics
I think it
is useful to distinguish here between the basic maintenance level, baptizing
enough people to replace those who have died or left the church, and actually
going beyond that maintenance level to include raising the total number of
active church members by bringing in new long-term members. I am more
interested in seeing the church actually grow, not just avoid shrinking, so I
would prefer to start with that growth viewpoint. But it is probably too
confusing to start there, so I will start with the more basic maintenance level
concerns.
Church statistics from
2018 show that there were 234,332 converts, and that the church grew
by only
195,566
members. (We might wonder where those lost 38,766 went to? Was it because of an
extra-large number of deaths or defections?) And supposedly, that increase of
195,566 includes baptized children of record. New children of record are
reported to number 102,102, of which, historically, only about 60% actually get
baptized, which would add about 61,261 for 2018.
But the
church only grew by 30 wards and branches, which I would estimate to be 3000
people that were new long-term members. It is obviously hard to understand what
is going on here without more and better data.
The
church does not report deaths anymore, but an average life expectancy of 75
years implies that 1.33% of the population will die each year. For the current
reported church population of 16,313,735 that would mean that the church should
have about 216,973 deaths each year. With 234,332 converts reported, that would
give us a net gain of only 17,359 of new members over deaths, without counting
defections. But notice that last year the church only reported a gain of
195,566, which is 21,407 less than the claimed converts. Extra deaths or
defections might be involved, but there is no way to know exactly what
happened. Also remember that the church reported 102,102 new children of record,
of which perhaps 60%, or 61,261, were probably baptized from prior years'
blessings of children. So, the church might claim that converts, plus the
baptisms of children of record from prior years, would be a total gain of
295,593, but they only report a gain of 195,566, an unexplained loss of
100,027. It's hard to guess what went on behind these numbers.
2018 Church Statistics |
|
Comments |
Calculation 1 |
|
|
Reported
converts |
234,332 |
|
Estimated
baptisms of children of record (60% of 102,102 reported children of record) |
61,261 |
|
Total expected growth |
295,593 |
|
|
|
|
Reported
church net growth |
195,566 |
|
Unexplained loss |
100,027 |
Extra
deaths or defections? |
|
|
|
Calculation 2 |
|
|
Total
expected growth |
295,593 |
|
Estimated
deaths |
216,973 |
|
Estimated church net growth |
78,620 |
|
|
|
|
Reported
church net growth |
195,566 |
|
Estimated
church net growth |
78,620 |
|
Unexplained "gain" |
116,946 |
Were many deaths
unreported? |
Reported
missionaries |
65,137 |
|
Average
converts per missionary per year |
3.597 |
|
|
|
|
Low
estimate of church resources centrally assembled annually (could be 3 times
that large) |
$15 billion |
|
Cost for
each of 234,332 converts -- $15
billion/ 234,332 = |
$64,011 |
|
|
|
|
Calculation 3 |
|
|
For 2018 |
|
|
Growth in
number of wards and branches |
30 |
|
Estimated
growth in new long-term active members, assuming 100 average for a ward or
branch |
3,000 |
|
Low estimate
of church resources centrally assembled annually (could be 3 times that
large) |
$15 billion |
|
Cost for
each of 3,000 net new long-term converts |
$5 million |
|
Cost for a
family of five |
$25 million |
|
|
|
|
For 2017 |
|
|
Growth in
number of wards and branches |
202 |
|
Estimated
growth in new long-term active members, assuming 100 average for a ward or
branch |
20,200 |
|
Low
estimate of church resources centrally assembled annually (could be 3 times
that large) |
$15 billion |
|
Cost for
each of 30,000 net new long-term converts |
$742,574 |
|
Cost for a
family of five |
$3,712,870 |
|
|
|
|
For 2016 |
|
|
Growth in
number of wards and branches |
288 |
|
Estimated
growth in new long-term active members, assuming 100 average for a ward or
branch |
28,800 |
|
Low
estimate of church resources centrally assembled annually (could be 3 times
that large) |
$15 billion |
|
Cost for
each of 30,000 net new long-term converts |
$520,833 |
|
Cost for a
family of five |
$2,609,165 |
|
Even if
Mormons are extra healthy, we can still be fairly confident that there were
somewhere around 200,000 members who died, plus an unknown number of those who
left the church. After all that activity and all those changes, it leaves only
about 3000 members who can be counted as actual growth. Of course, it is
useful for the missionaries to replace the people who die and leave the church,
but it is clear that the birthrate within the church is nowhere near enough to
keep us from shrinking without the missionaries finding new people. That itself
ought to be a cause for alarm, and evidence that the newer generations of
church members don't value children very much – not enough to even replace
those members who die. Here again, it seems like we
ought to focus a great deal more on living people than on dead people who have already had their turn on
Earth. They are much more able to take care of themselves than are these little
ones.
If
we said that the income of the central church was a mere $15 billion a year
(some have estimated it to be three times that amount), bringing in about
200,000 converts to avoid the church shrinking from deaths would cost about
$75,000 each (enough to keep out 25 missionaries for a year for each person
baptized.). But, ideally, we would not be spending all of our money just to
stay exactly where we are. We would be making some progress. The fact that we
are not making any progress should tell us that there's something critically
wrong with our current program.
In 2018,
the Church added only about 3,000
people to the number of long-term active members. That is getting close enough to zero that the church leaders cannot
really argue anymore that they have an effective program. The number of missionaries is shrinking as
well, perhaps as people find out that they can go on their missions for 1.5 or
2 years, and, even though they may baptize on average about 4 people each year
per missionary, many of them will not have a single convert that stays with the
church long-term. On average, in recent
years it has taken more than two missionary man-years to get one new long-term
convert beyond the maintenance level, beyond keeping the church from shrinking,
and now, as of last year, we see the church adding hardly any new long-term
converts, meaning it takes about 20 missionary man-years for every new
long-term convert which actually extends the size of the active members of the
church.
The 3000
number represents the new long-term converts who added enough to the church
activity rolls to justify adding a ward or branch somewhere in the world. Last
year the church added 30 wards and branches. If we guess that there is an
average of 100 people for each ward or branch, then 30x100 = 3000.
The church
attitude towards missionaries seems to be that the people in Utah, their main
constituency, their "breadbasket" so to speak, the source of so much
of their money income and volunteers, really want their children to get out and
go on missions and see the world, and so the church is supplying that
experience for young people. However, at
this point that whole system is so strikingly ineffective, almost
counterproductive, with so many missionaries becoming depressed, that the time
has come to end it or greatly reorganize it. Again, the whole thing was built
up as a service to the money-paying people in Utah, and that whole program is
falling apart. I could supply some statistics but that may not even be
necessary. I think we are beyond
statistics. People can plainly see that
the whole thing is not working.
A few years
ago, as in 2016, the church members were paying through tithing about $0.5
million for each new long-term member which would mean, overall, that we were
paying about $2.5 million for a family of five.
But that was when we were still bringing in about 30,000 new long-term
people a year, as indicated by the number of new wards and branches that were
formed each year. Today, the numbers
concerning average cost have become astronomical. We are now spending about $5 million for each
new long-term member, and about $25 million for every family of five.
Can you
imagine how many children could be saved from abortion with that kind of
money available to fund the program? Perhaps we should simply charge the church
$1 million for each new long-term member we supply through the orphanage system. That would save them a great deal of money
and get us off to a great financial start. This, of course, is another way to
say that our whole system has collapsed, as well it should, because we are not
following the simple program that Christ set out.
We have
made up our own program which focuses on centralizing all the money which is
possible, and then essentially intentionally wasting all that money at the
central offices so that the members will not actually be able to use those
resources to do something good in the world, since doing so would be so
disruptive to the church's current business model of quietly enjoying a lavish
income for doing almost nothing. That
system is in a state of full collapse and we might as well recognize it and
take some action to fix it. If church
leaders are unwilling to face reality and "face the music," so to
speak, then a few sturdy members are going to have to take action.
The truth
is that my deepest reason for wanting to do this abortion/orphanage project is because
of how confused the church has become after 200 years of operation – the point
at which all previous restorations have collapsed. This orphanage program would be a serious
project that does a lot of good, and is very necessary. It would start the
process of people exercising their religious freedom to send their
charity money where they
think it will do the most good, and I hope that this abortion/orphanage project
will seem like exactly the right thing for all these people to do. They can stop sending their money to the
temple building/temple work charitable activity which
keeps church members busy and off the streets but doesn't create any effect in
the real world, or they can send their money to a project which is aggressively
taking on Christian activities. There
will be some members who would like to remain invisible and ineffective, but
there are some who are a little more aggressive in their Christianity, and will
want to send a message to the world that the Mormons support Christianity
everywhere and are not shy about it.
This will
probably terrify the current church leadership, and I don't know what they will
do. They might even do something
completely irrational. But it is time to
find out, since we can officially declare that the old system has completely
failed. It is no longer in doubt which
way the right direction to go might be.
If the
church does choose to help us, I would say Hallelujah, because that will mean
that this hundred-year confusion about the mission of the church will finally
be cleared up and we can get back on the right path. I'm not expecting that to happen, but that
would be the ultimate measure of success for this project.
I believe there is a
silver lining to this current bad situation or problem. We do indeed have many
church members in other countries already, even though the cost of getting them
has already been 100 times what it should have been. If we simply stopped
trying to keep people from gathering, and let the gathering happen naturally in
any way people wanted to do it, or could do it, we would suddenly have all
these church members from all over the world flooding in to be living in the
United States. And, using the examples from the 1800s, where 90,000 people came from England
and Scandinavia to Utah within just a few years, constituting about 83% of ALL
active members in about 1852, for every person who left a foreign land for Zion, there would be one or two people who would be getting
ready to do the same thing. That process would never stop. Many arrived in Utah
without ever officially joining the Church through baptism, presumably because
of their eagerness to leave their bad situation in England.
That is the way it
worked in England. People wanted freedom, and the church gathering process provided an organized
way to escape the near-slavery the lower classes experienced in
England. (We might remember that it was English ships who were bringing slaves
to America, providing insight into the English viewpoint on slavery at that
earlier time.) The opportunity to live in freedom is an enormous and constant
electro-magnet (which we have intentionally turned off). If we would just get
out of the way, we would only have to help a little here and there to have a
constant flood of people joining us in the United States and greatly bulking up
the number of pro-freedom people in the United States, hopefully enough to
continually overwhelm the anti-freedom influences which keep growing in our
nation.
When you have Zion all in one place,
they will take care of themselves. You don't need a giant expensive bureaucracy to act as
headquarters for 200 different scattered tribes or versions of the church
living under 200 different versions of Babylon. You only need such a huge bureaucracy if you can insist
on keeping everyone from gathering together. So, as a business model, you want
to avoid the gathering because it hurts your tithing income going to your paid
ministry labor union.
Here
is a more precisely written version of that historical migration from Europe:
In a chapter by Rodney
Stark about LDS Church growth, he includes one
subtopic entitled “The British to the Rescue.”* The statistics he provides show that the British
converts went from 23% of the 16,865 members in 1840 to 83.4% of the 52,640
members in 1852, then gradually down to 49% of the 188,263 members in 1889.
This was a huge influx of members at a critical time for the Church. Of the
92,465 total British converts in the 1840 to 1890 period, 89,695 moved to the
US, leaving 2,770 behind. The year 2000 membership figure for the United
Kingdom is 165,100, so the emigration of that huge portion of early British
converts does not appear to have caused any long-term problem for the Church in
that country.
*Rodney Stark, "The Basis of
Mormon Success: A Theoretical Application” in James T. Duke, ed., Latter-day
Saint Social Life: Social Research on the LDS Church and its Members (Provo,
Utah: Religious Studies Center, Brigham Young University, 1998),
pp. 29-67 (chapter 2).
Some further steps?
One
of the very long-term goals of this project could be to establish an entire new
social insurance system based on charity, which worked so well
for the Saints during and after the life of Christ. That would mean replacing
Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and perhaps 60 other patchwork
tax-and-spend entitlement programs with a gospel-based/charity-based system.
Such a system is easily twice as efficient as anything a government can do with
its wasteful and corrupt methods, and these charity-based support systems can
easily be five times as effective.
The
church could have solved this general social insurance problem for all of us back
in the 1930s when it was easy to do, bringing $10 Trillion in extra pension
funds to church members up to the present. They didn't do a thing then, going
along meekly with the New Deal then, so it is a
little harder to do it now. But it is well worth the effort even if it takes
several years to work out mechanisms that are suitable so that these
tax-and-spend atheistic entitlement monstrosities can be replaced with
something Christian and workable, without having to pay two or three times just
for insuring that peoples' basic needs are taken care of when necessary.
The Leland Farms Project
A vigorous Christian response to the
growing pagan practices of
abortion and infanticide in our nation
An Administrative
Addendum
Who should do this project?
Should it
be a new, local, one-of-a-kind charitable organization which starts from
scratch and gradually builds itself up, or should LDS Church headquarters have
a role in this project? Or should there
be some combination of the two?
Some
possible topics for discussion:
1. If the
Church was ever interested in making a statement that could change the course
of the nation, this looks like this would be a good time to do it.
2. This
would represent a new and seemingly unusual way to "gather Israel."
Perhaps it could gradually be scaled up to compete on almost equal terms with
the regular proselyting processes. The project should also have major ripple
effects as it shows other Christian groups one good way to go about
counteracting the pro-abortion influences on all
levels.
3. If the
Church wanted to increase its total number of proselyting missionaries and
service missionaries, this might be a good way to do it, perhaps adding 20,000
to the young people and senior citizens involved. It seems likely that the
senior citizens would be especially interested in this kind of service.
Everyone loves children, and the social stresses and anxieties should be much
less in assisting children than in cold-contacting unknown adults of the world.
4. Teaching
children while they are a young, especially those who might feel some gratitude
for having been rescued, is usually a better way to introduce the gospel than
having to help people first "unlearn" what they have incorrectly
learned in their lives.
5. The rate
of church growth seems to be dropping in recent years. Setting up this Leland Farms project and
system could help greatly improve church growth. I think this project could
have many ripple effects which could raise the church growth rate far beyond
just the number of children who were helped directly by the project. Simply further
emphasizing the LDS respect for life and respect for personal freedom would have a
positive effect on people's view of the LDS church.
6. Although
this may seem like a highly political move, in another sense it is not very
political, even though it is a direct challenge to rampant paganism. The idea of killing babies simply because they are
inconvenient to have around is not really popular anywhere. Almost everyone can
agree that is a bad idea. Even the atheistic political left claims that they are
really sad about there being so many abortions. They don't actually believe that, of course, but
Christian thinking still has so much influence in our country that atheists
would never publicly state that it is their goal to kill as many children as
possible. The
atheistic left would have to find a different argument against the project.
7. I have
often thought it would be nice if, instead of sending humanitarian relief funds
to Catholic organizations to be administered, a large amount of church funds
could be sent to more specifically LDS projects such as this one, where the
teaching of the gospel is an important part of the project.
8. We put a
huge amount of effort into saving the dead, but maybe it is time to put some more effort into saving
the living through this new channel of assisting children into this world and
into gospel families.
9. Many
states, at least 17, have tried very hard to constrain abortion to the extent they
can at the state level, pushing back actively against the 1973 federal takeover
a rightful state issue. This project could become a focal point for
coordinating the activities of a large number of Christians in our nation who
are taking aggressive action to limit the number of abortions, but who may not actually have a plan to follow through on
some of the practical effects of the legal changes that are being proposed. The
great efforts of these other Christians ought to be recognized and assisted
where possible.
10. The
church has been putting a lot of architectural effort into explicitly religious
structures such as chapels and temples. Perhaps some of that architectural enthusiasm could be
directed toward solving a social problem such as the new wave of abortions and infanticides. Housing and educating
young people would become more important.
11. Once a
project headquarters staff was assembled and trained, it is quite possible that
the activities in Leland, the part that could
be seen easily, would only be 1/10th of what was being administered worldwide.
12. There
are many possible initiation and long-term management methods that could be
used. The LDS church might offer a loan or grant to this organization. Or the
church might design and build it and then turn it over to someone else to
operate, perhaps through some leasing arrangement. If the LDS church did not
want to make its efforts too public because of potential public relations
problems, there might even be a way for it to remain anonymous. It is
conceivable that the original cost could be paid back over time.
13. It
could be that a local management group would care little about what the world
thought of them, since that local group might see themselves as having little
to lose, and would not be subject to much social "blowback" from the
project, while the centralized church might be more concerned about such
matters.
14. The
Church already has some undeveloped land in Leland. A fully developed project area might need multiple
chapels.
15. I
believe the LDS Church could easily do this project if it chose to. It could set up even the most ambitious
version of the project within two or three years, perhaps by slightly delaying
some of its many temple building projects. Even at the highly ambitious $3 billion
level, that would probably not be much of a strain on the Church or change its
other plans very much.
Current church strategy
(And
why the Church leaders probably will not help us with the orphanage project,
at
least not at the beginning.)
The first
three presidents of the church used the same basic program as Christ used
himself. Christ made clear his extreme
focus on charity, and imposed no other expenses on the members. We should
be able to remember that Christ fulfilled and ended the law of Moses, especially including ending the law of tithing, for which
he showed great scorn during his ministry.
Every
separate group of church members had their own patriarch who held all the
sealing powers, so they didn't need any central headquarters or any fancy or
expensive buildings to be able to carry out every aspect of the complete
Gospel. And with a built-in social safety net based on charity for anyone who joined the church, the church
apparently attracted a lot of good people and grew at a rate of at least 10% a
year for the next 300 years.
But
starting with Wilford Woodruff, the church changed its strategy into something else,
and it has been gradually going further and further in that new direction. It
has finally reached the logical end of that path. It must change direction or
face continual near-paralysis or perhaps even extinction. It certainly cannot
continue to grow enough to matter to anyone.
There are a
few simple, basic rules that seem to control nearly everything which the Church
does at the strategic level:
Rule number one: the
church is largely controlled by outsiders
Rule number
one is that the nature of the Church today is mostly controlled by the corrupt
governments of the world. This really
means that we have about 200 versions of the church, one for each of the
world's 200 countries, not just a single version of the church. One might guess
that it takes a huge administrative bureaucracy to administer 200
versions of the church instead of just one version of the church, and that
partially explains why we have such an enormous government-style overhead staff
at the Salt Lake City headquarters which
operates this diplomatic regime that directs all the activities of these 200
versions of the church.
In order
for the church to go into other countries using its current corporate form and
current policies, it must receive permission from those various governments
which are more or less corrupt. That
means that the church must do absolutely nothing to threaten any of these
organizations. The church must be as
bland as possible. It must make it clear
somehow to these corrupt foreign leaders that the church will never promote
freedom-seeking activities of
any kind or do anything else which might seem even slightly disruptive to these
various corrupt leaders or groups of leaders or their societies.
The way it
affects us here in the United States is this: we are not allowed to do anything
in the United States that would seem the least bit threatening to a government
somewhere else. (Especially today, with all the many news organizations and the
Internet constantly carrying masses of new information around the world, it
means that anything new done in the United States by the LDS Church would soon,
often almost immediately, be made known everywhere else.)
There are
many things which could be helpful to the church which we could do in the
United States because of the great freedom we have here that
would cause it to grow and be successful and be a great blessing to many
people. But all of those things must be
tamped down or remain essentially invisible so that the leaders of these other
countries will not feel threatened in the least by the church being present
there as a formal organization with a major headquarters in Salt Lake City. The church budget is larger than at least 30 countries,
and perhaps as many as 60 countries, so it is likely to be treated as a serious
potential political threat, if it chose to be a threat.
This means
that the nature of the church in the United States has to be the lowest common
denominator of every other country in the world. If there is one country where we can't do
something in the rest of the world, then we can't do it here, because otherwise
word would get out that we are inconsistent and that we might be a threat to
some other governmental organization somewhere in the world. For example, if we encouraged the gathering
of members from around the world, we might be viewed as stealing their people
or we might be viewed as being part of a brain-drain operation if we took their
best people or allowed or encouraged them to move to the United States. Apparently, using this logic, the gathering
has been officially canceled as of the 1970s, probably because that could be a
source of irritation to these other governments.
(I should
mention that some of the things I say here I am very confident are true, and
other things I say are slightly speculative since I can't gather much data on
some of these points. But I do believe
that all the things I say are consistent, and if the church selects one policy
then it must necessarily select another closely related policy to stay
consistent.)
Rule number two: The lowest common denominator
So, the
church in the United States having to be the lowest common denominator among
all countries is the most basic rule of all. That really means that we can't do
anything that normal Christians would do in the
United States. We can't be actively
promoting freedom as Christians have done for the past 2000
years, which process brought the United States into existence. The church has officially decided that it
cannot continue that history of promoting freedom that brought us to where we
are. That single factor causes me the
largest amount of heartburn.
Again, we
can't be promoting freedom here because that will, in the minds of the
church leaders, lead to a suspicion by all the leaders of these other countries
that we will inevitably start promoting freedom there in their countries, and
of course those countries don't want that.
A possible example is Venezuela today where there are quite a few church
members in that country, and they probably would all like to be free, but the
church presumably believes it cannot be involved in even the most bland way in
helping them gain their freedom.
In other
words, the church members abroad are expected to stay in the countries where
they joined the church so that their leaving is not a threat. Many of those countries have such terrible
economic and social situations that it makes it almost impossible for someone
to live the gospel there because of all the conflicts that they will have with
the mainline society and the government. At the same time, they can't take any
steps to change that society to make it more bearable because that would be a
threat to the ruling powers there. The local people, the old settlers, would
say "This is our culture, not yours, and your changes are not welcome
here." Remember Jackson County Missouri? Things did not go well for the members who wanted to
actually live the gospel there.
Those
conflicts with local societies argue very strongly for foreign members to leave
their particular version of Babylon and come to the United States where the
sheer numbers of church members would build up a huge pool of freedom-loving people who could keep the United States on an even
keel and keep it from destroying itself through adopting worldly atheistic
beliefs and practices. However, someone
at church headquarters has made the choice that it is currently more beneficial
to church headquarters to proceed using the current strategy. That means that
individual church members out in these branches of Babylon are hurt very much
by this church policy. They are asked to
sacrifice needlessly on behalf of the church headquarters itself. Strangely
enough, the very lack of privileges of members in those foreign countries gives
excuses for the Salt Lake City bureaucrats to have
additional privileges here as they travel to deal with some of the problems
there. I see nothing fair or necessary about that at all. The church leaders in
Salt Lake City can travel the world at will, and have a great time, but the
members abroad are chained to their current locations.
Another layer deeper
So now it's
time to go another layer deeper. So why would the church want to keep people
living in these often very unpleasant Third World countries when they could come
to the United States or perhaps some other First World country and enjoy the
blessings of freedom and be able to live the Gospel exactly as they
would like?
Apparently,
through trial and error, the church headquarters has discovered that the people
in Utah and in the United States will consistently pay the largest amount of
tithing to church headquarters if there are certain conditions in effect. The
church needs to keep members in these other countries, not for their own sake
or for the sake of the other people there, but because they represent trophies
which can be presented as reasons and proof that the church is being successful
and why the church members should keep paying in their tithing money. Also, when the church is able to build
chapels and temples in these other
countries, that has multiple policy effects.
It tells the tithe-paying people in the United States that the church must
be achieving success because it has now been able to plant another symbol,
another trophy, in one of these foreign countries, so that the people in Utah
can feel like they are being successful even though they have no idea what's
actually going on in the world.
Actually, I
consider the building of a temple in one these foreign
countries to be a major step backwards in many cases, the most egregious case
being in East Germany during the Cold War. What that really means is
that the church has finally given away enough of the freedom of their own members
to make a deal with the usually corrupt powers-that-be there so that those
people will allow us to build a temple there.
We have dumbed down or simplified the Gospel to the extent that is
required in that area so that we have satisfied the corrupt attitudes of the
governing men or bodies of men so that we can build a temple there. I consider this, as I say, a step
backwards. There might be many things
that were possible for church members to do quietly before they became so
visible through their temples, and perhaps to a less extent through their chapels, and now they can't do some of those things anymore
because they have to behave in a certain prescribed way. They become hostages
to that temple which has been built.
That means, in most cases, their freedom and personal ability to live
the Gospel in everyday life actually goes lower.
We then
have a trade-off. Yes, those foreign
members have the chance to go to a temple and perform some
ordinances themselves and for the dead, but their own daily lives are worse than they were before
or worse than they could be somewhere else. The temple actually keeps them
peaceful -- it gives them an outlet for their energies which otherwise might be
devoted to helping others and improving freedom. That makes the
temple a kind of albatross around their necks, although I assume it is not
obvious most of the time.
The church
headquarters probably considers a temple to be a good thing
because it will pacify those people and stop them from trying to leave or
trying to disrupt the local corrupt society by trying to make it better. But it actually puts them in chains. They could easily go to some other country
for their temple ordinances, especially if some element of the church helped them, and
they would learn some interesting things in the process. Of course, it might
also stimulate them to want to be more free to live the gospel, and that is
what the church is trying to avoid. The church ends up having to manage member
expectations.
Also, it should
be mentioned here, that temples are not a necessary
part of the gospel at all. The people
after the time of Christ had no buildings at all for 300 years and they did
very nicely. We somehow forget that
rather important little historical fact. An endowment house served the people
of Salt Lake City for 40 years before
the temple there was finished. It seemed to be perfectly adequate.
The early
Christians were always persecuted, at least in the sense
that they could not build any buildings, whether chapels or temples. But that
restriction turned out to be an unexpected blessing in disguise, because they
could spend all of their resources on helping each other. We are requiring
members in these other countries to live under all sorts of legal restrictions,
somewhat the same way as the Saints had to live in Rome. None of that is
necessary or desirable except that is the preferred business model of the Salt
Lake City headquarters. I don't see any good gospel purpose for any
of it.
I was told
by a person who had once been a stake president, that the Church strives to
keep a certain balance between those who live in the United States, who are
paying for almost everything, and those in foreign countries who are spending a
big part of that money in their countries.
The church in these other countries cannot be allowed to get very large
because the church cannot "support them in the style to which the church
would like them to become accustomed," with buildings of specific kinds,
unless they are getting enough money from the United States. It is nearly always a net loss overseas
concerning contribution revenues. It is
always a major expense (and sometimes a major embarrassment to the people
receiving it) to support these foreign groups of people, at least if we insist
on having lots of nice buildings for them.
So it is good to have the church be large in the United States where the
church gets all its money, but the churches in the rest of the world can't be
allowed to get too large because we can't spend more money on them than is
supplied by the people in Utah and elsewhere.
That is the balancing act on the money scene.
Of course, those are
all completely artificial barriers to growth in other countries, intentionally
imposed by the church headquarters itself to maximize its control and its
profits. After Christ, the church quickly spread through areas of Greece and
elsewhere with no impediments because the only thing the new members had to do
was take care of each other. There were no capital investment or start-up costs
or taxes required to do that.
Almost inconceivable to
today's church members, those early members did not have to send any tithing to
anyone, so there was no need for banking operations, big buildings, etc. Those
new members did not need to basically pay a franchise tax to some headquarters
unit somewhere in the world to be allowed to move forward according to certain
legalistic franchise rules enforced by a US religious corporate entity wrongly
claiming exclusive copyright ownership of all the gospel texts and concepts.
If the church let these
other areas of the world just do their own thing, as at the time of Christ, and
pay no tithing/salvation franchise tax in order to operate successfully, the US
members might suddenly get the idea in their heads that they didn't need to pay
any franchise (or temple ordinance) tax themselves, and then the whole
system would collapse (which is what needs to happen anyway). Priesthood
ordinances are all supposed to be free, especially
including temple ordinances.
The Salt
Lake City people build
buildings, but charge perhaps an outrageous overhead charge of perhaps 500% for
doing so and allow no competition. They are a monopoly in this area and charge
monopoly profits. Perhaps they internally sometimes justify their enormous overhead
charges using that kind of government contract negotiation logic, although they
would never use that logic on the members.)
The church
has been engaged in a worldwide branding process which is unnecessary, but
apparently makes the Salt Lake City people feel more
important. They have greater control at the detail level in all these places,
it seems to them. This apparently helps teach and reinforce the claimed need to
pay a license or franchise tax for all church activities. And, there is
apparently a lot of money to be made in constructing church buildings, which
supports a whole construction bureaucracy of well-paid and
therefore naturally very supportive members.
The temple building/temple work strategy
Again,
through trial and error, church headquarters has discovered that, since the
church tries to do almost nothing to change the society around it, and engages
in hardly any measurable amount of charity, since doing serious
charitable works can change societies, and that is to be avoided at all costs,
one has to decide what happens to people's money and time in this
headquarters-preferred situation.
Building temples and doing temple work is actually a
way of distracting church members, intentionally using up their money and their
energies without allowing them to do anything that matters in the real
world.
It is all
very fine for members to do work for the dead. They can be
reminded of how the plan of salvation works and they can feel like they're
contributing, but, more importantly, they are being kept off the streets, so to
speak. If people are convinced that the
most important thing they can do is work for the dead, as opposed to work for
the living, then that's going to keep them very tame. They send all their money to Salt Lake, they
spend all their church time doing things which are invisible to everyone else,
and there is no effect on the society, and the church can continue to seem
completely bland and completely ineffective as far as any of the typical
Christian activities would be. In other
words, the temple building and temple work projects are giant
make-work projects for church members to keep them from being active in the
lives of living people, and instead encouraging them to spend all their time
working on behalf of people who are not here and will not cause any trouble in
society no matter what you do for them. They will not change their earthly
attitudes or their votes, etc.
Spy vs. spy
Our little
group needs to operate in a stealthy way, just like the church is operating in
a stealthy way around the world. We
think we are living in a Gospel society here in Utah, but we are not. We see
the corruption of our local governments, and the church must take a lot of the
blame for that. Since they will never support the Constitution anywhere else, why
would they support it in Utah? That would be acting inconsistently. We are
gradually importing all the wickedness of the world, and doing it
intentionally, because the church leaders think we need to blend with the
world, not be a peculiar people who stand out and who do important Christian things
and who change societies.
So, the
church itself is part of the corruption here in Utah because they have imported
it because it seemed convenient. I think
we have finally reached the end of that possibility. It should not be allowed to be stealthy
anymore. The whole thing, the whole
gospel project, is collapsing and going up in smoke because they have let it
"grow wild" for so long, imagining that avoiding any active
interference with the downward slide of society was actually in their business
interest. So now a big charitable
project will have to stay under the radar of the church for a while or they
will try to squelch us and squeeze us out.
We need to be aware of that, but simply not talk about it or make it
much of an issue. We need to just go on
our way and do what we can legally on our own in a free country which is barely
just still free.
The church
will start to feel like we are putting them in a bad light, making it seem like
their old business model of total passivity won't work and they can't keep
claiming and pretending that they are pushing the full gospel worldwide, when
they are only promoting the thinnest shadow of the real gospel. They are just building up trophies to get
money from United States people. It's
quite possible that they have been doing this so long that nobody at church
headquarters even knows what the basic strategy is -- they may just
be mindlessly continuing the "traditions of the fathers" by rote But
I'm sure there are some people who understand the strategy and enforce it, or
it would have gone a different way already.
We just need to be alert that we are playing a double game here, but
feel confident that we are doing the right thing, nonetheless.
Likely church
analysis and reaction
So perhaps
we can discuss what the church will probably think about this Leland project. Abortion has become a major
political issue, perhaps the biggest political issue of our times. If we agree with the good Christians who were active in
Rome in rescuing and adopting discarded babies, we
would want to do something about at least changing the effects of these pagan abortion rituals that are
going on, this infanticide. But to do that, we obviously will have a
political effect because we will be backing up the legislative work of the 17
Christian states who have decided to do what they can to minimize abortions that occur in their
states. I am assuming they will not have
a plan in effect to deal with the aftermath of the laws they pass. There will still be just as many unwanted
children, even if they are allowed to go to full term and be born, but they
will still be just as unwanted or perhaps more of them will be unwanted than
the million a year who have been killed through abortions. So, someone needs to give those states the
practical backup for their political crusade.
So, we will obviously then be right in the middle of a highly emotional
political issue.
We would be
saying that we believe in the sanctity of life which includes the right to
life, the right to be born, and that puts us squarely in conflict with the
political left. We will be anything but
bland. We will be sticking out like a
sore thumb, as they say.
All of this
potential political visibility is exactly what the church leaders will want to
avoid because that will hamper their "non-political, business franchise
'McDonald's' operation" work,
as they see it, in other countries. It's
interesting to note that the abortion rate in the rest of
the world, on a per capita basis, is about three times what it is in the United
States. In other words, the Christian
heritage of the United States has already kept the abortion rate quite low
compared to the rest of the world. If
the rest of the world sees LDS Church members here actively helping to lower
the number of abortions, and to find homes for
all of the children who are rescued, they are probably going to have numerous
bad reactions to that. For example, they might say "Someone is stealing
our children and using them against us by teaching them a different value
system." Someone will fairly
quickly figure that out and be upset. Just the idea of confronting and
resisting the political left (a bland term for Satanism) is going to get us into deep trouble. The church will immediately want to stop this
process because, as they will likely see it, it will be threatening their
bureaucratic power and their stable income for all the reasons I mentioned
above. (It may take some intricate
reasoning to piece together the actual, possibly quite indirect, church
reaction since leaders are not in the habit of speaking candidly about policy
matters).
So, not
only will the church probably decide not to help this project, it will likely
engage in some active efforts to stop it. There is a tiny chance that if we
war-game this out for them, and show that they have to support this project or
become irrelevant themselves, then maybe they will support it. But that is extremely unlikely to begin
with. The chances go up over time if the
project is successful.
The central
headquarters could decide to jump in and use all their assembled management
expertise to give such projects a rocket boost, but that would require an
enormous set of policy changes at church headquarters.
There is
another aspect here which needs to be mentioned. It is likely that there are many church
members who are quietly or even subconsciously a little bit uneasy about what
the Church has been doing, in the last 50 years, of remaining completely
passive on every important issue that relates to religion and politics. Religion
and politics are always intertwined.
There is no cure for that.
Politics is the way we show our morality, and morality comes from
religion, and there is no avoiding this conflict. In the long-term, you have to make a choice
to go with Christianity or with Satanism, and unfortunately, the LDS Church has decided that their
short-term benefit is to go with the political left on almost every issue,
perhaps being just a few years behind them so that they don't seem to be either
too eager or too resistant.
Church
members can choose to continue to do more mostly invisible temple work, and pay for
building more temples that do almost nothing to change society, and
in this way the members can manage to do essentially no charity at all, or those members can take the gospel
bull by the horns, so to speak, and take the scriptures seriously, and make
charity our number one activity. If we devote billions of dollars to charitable
activities that could be quite noticeable in the sense that we will be changing
society for the better. In most cases
that would be highly commended by other Christians in our country and
would be condemned by the corrupt leaders and many of the people nationwide and
worldwide. But the conflict would become
very clear. If church members then
decide to send their money to support these somewhat aggressive charitable
activities like limiting abortion and promoting the
gathering -- which are actually two unexpectedly interrelated aspects of the
gathering, since they are just different paths to get all the good spirits
together -- then that will potentially mean an immediate drop in the tithing
income to the central church, assuming they will refuse to use the tithing
money for any of these highly commendable charitable projects.
Incidentally,
the church members should be eagerly involved in correct education instead of
supporting corrupt state systems, that nearly all aggressively promote leftist
ideologies, so that would be another project which would be a subproject of the
Leland Project, providing the proper education for
the children that are saved from the fires of Moloch, as they used to say about ritual infanticide.
So, we need
to be ready to experience some pushback from the church and we might as well
know why it's happening, so we will not get too confused or discouraged. Unfortunately, church leaders have been very
clever in presenting to a politically unsophisticated church membership
arguments for what they do which seem semi-convincing. Unfortunately, the truth is, that the church
leadership have been skirting the truth and telling some outright lies in order
to keep their control over the income flow of tithing from church members. It's rather an unpleasant shock to discover
that LDS Church members have been manipulated so much for so long, but I think
we have finally reached the point where the real story has to be told and
people have to wake up.
The church should be at 200 million members
If the gospel were
being taught and practiced properly, after 200 years of operation I think it
would be at the 200 million level already, large enough to keep United States
on an even political keel. However, the church today is only teaching and
practicing about 25% of the gospel. We might find nearly all correct teachings
somewhere buried in the literature, but we are not DOING any of those things --
we don't support freedom, we don't do charity on a grand scale, we don't resist abortion, etc., etc.
Last year, the church
apparently added only 3000 new long-term people to its active membership. That
is close enough to zero to call it zero. And it costs us at least $15 billion
in total member costs every year just to keep from shrinking.
Our growth
rate is so pitifully small, that it is hardly even worth discussing, but some
of the numbers the church puts out may seem confusing, so only for that reason
it might be worthwhile to present the various numbers and attempt to analyze
and compare them.
There Must Be More to
the Pro-Life Cause
May
16th, 2019
by
Erick Erickson
I
support legislation in Alabama, Georgia, and elsewhere to restrict killing
children behind the euphemism of abortion.
I
also think pro-lifers must do other things as well. Should we be successful,
there will be women carrying children they do not want and there will be women
who bear costs with no fathers around to help them. We must do more to provide
social stability for these moms.
Pro-lifers
must be willing to fight for adoption reform across the states. We should
support making it more efficient to adopt by cutting bureaucratic red tape. We
must work to end laws that allow mothers who give up their children to change
their minds once an adoption has gone through. We must work to encourage more
interracial adoptions.
We
must also work to improve the social safety net to help women. Churches need to
step up on this, not just taxpayers. This burden should be on the pro-life
community, not just the state. We need to make it easier for mothers to get
care they need. We need to make it easier for them to collect from deadbeat
dads. Frankly, we also need to make it easier for deadbeat dads to find jobs to
help pay for support. Sometimes a catch 22 develops where a father falls behind
on payments to help his children and goes to jail, even though he is trying to
earn money to help his child.
This
cannot be a “ban abortion” approach because then
the pro-life community will be accepting the abortion community’s critique that
we only care about children in the womb.
Additionally,
we need to understand the new fronts the left will open. Some activists will
work to curtail adoption choices through targeting faith-based adoption
agencies in the name of tolerance. They’ll shut off the avenues by which
adoptions can happen in the name of tolerance, then complain that the adoption
process is too burdensome and abortion is the answer.
Restricting
abortion is a good thing. It
is killing a human being. But restricting abortion without helping mothers and
children is cruel. A healthy pro-life community will step up and move beyond
restrictions on abortion towards greater social and community support for mothers
with nowhere to turn.
https://theresurgent.com/2019/05/16/there-must-be-more-to-the-pro-life-caus
Ohio Just Became the
Fifth State to Ban Abortion at 6 Weeks
Apr.
11, 2019 By Madeleine Aggeler
Ohio
has become the fifth state to ban abortion at six weeks. A
so-called “fetal heartbeat bill,” which outlaws abortion before most women even
realize they’re pregnant, passed the state legislature on Wednesday morning;
newly elected governor Mike DeWine signed it the next day.
Ohio
joins four other states that have passed similar six-week abortion bans: Mississippi,
Kentucky, Iowa, and North Dakota. In addition, Georgia passed a six-week
abortion ban back in March, and openly anti-abortion Governor Brian Kemp, who
has voiced his support for the bill, has until May 10 to sign it.
Heartbeat
bills ban all or most abortions once a heartbeat can
be detected — which is usually at the embryonic stage, around five or six weeks
— severely restricting the usual, legal threshold at which states can ban
abortion, which is considered to be when a fetus is viable outside
the womb (around 24 weeks). Such bills, in effect, prohibit nearly all
abortions, because they leave women with such a small window in which to
confirm they are pregnant, and then have the procedure done.
While
these laws have all been challenged in court, and blocked from taking effect
because they run counter to Roe v. Wade, they are part of a
larger effort to eventually overturn Roe
at level of the Supreme Court, and a growing push against women’s reproductive rights in
the United States. Here is a closer look at what has happened with these bans
in each state.
Ohio
Ohio’s
fetal heartbeat bill was shut down twice before, by former governor John
Kasich. Ohio’s current governor, however, Mike DeWine, signed it shortly after
it passed the legislature. The ACLU has said it will challenge the measure as
soon as it is signed.
Georgia (passed; not yet signed by the governor)
Passed
in March, Georgia’s HB481, or the Living Infants Fairness and Equality (LIFE)
Act, would ban all abortions after six weeks,
including in cases of rape or incest. It also redefines who is considered to be
a “natural person,” expanding the term to include “an unborn child.” This new
definition would potentially make
mothers who receive abortions and doctors who administer them open to
criminal prosecution.
https://www.thecut.com/2019/04/which-states-have-passed-six-week-abortion-bans.html
New York abortion law allows
infanticide
Posted:
Feb. 6, 2019 10:15 am
To
The Herald-Whig:
Democrats
hold many positions that I disagree with. But the one that has caused me the
greatest pain is abortion.
I
believe in the sanctity of life at any stage of development, but now the
Democrats have crossed a line that no civilized person, regardless of their
politics, should support.
The
Democrats are now stepping beyond abortion to infanticide. If you're not familiar with that term, it is the killing
of a baby after it is born, its heart pumping blood, its lungs pumping oxygen
into that blood. The infant can cry and smile, and it can take in nourishment,
either through its mother's breast or from a bottle.
New
York lawmakers, with the support of Democratic governor Andrew Cuomo, have
approved late-term abortions up to and including
after birth. The New York law, in addition to approving abortion at any stage of
pregnancy, also moves the state's abortion regulations from the criminal code
to the health codes, prohibiting criminal prosecution for medical professionals
who perform abortions. The Democratic governor of Virginia is pushing for a
similar law.
Under
the new law, in New York a medical professional is now defined as a licensed
physician, nurse practitioner, physician assistant and licensed midwives. And
under the new law, the decision to abort lies with the mother, regardless of
the baby's physical condition.
Whether
or not we choose to remain a civilized society will be decided in November
2020. If killing newborn babies doesn't bother you, vote Democratic. If you
have one shred of respect for human life, you have to vote Republican.
If
you believe abortion at any stage of development is OK, please go
to YouTube and type in the search box "Dr. Levatino destroys abortion in
two minutes." His description of a late-term abortion while testifying
before a congressional committee sickened me. Today, he no longer performs
abortions except to save the life of the mother.
William
Mussetter, Quincy
https://www.whig.com/20190206/new-york-abortion-law-allows-infanticide#
March
2018
Fact
Sheet
Induced Abortion Worldwide
GLOBAL
INCIDENCE AND TRENDS
•
During 2010–2014, an estimated 56 million induced abortions occurred each year
worldwide. This number represents an increase from 50 million annually during
1990–1994, mainly because of population growth.
•
As of 2010–2014, the global annual rate of abortion for all women of
reproductive age (15–44) is estimated to be 35 per 1,000, which is a reduction
from the 1990–1994 rate of 40 per 1,000.
•
The estimated global abortion rate as of 2010–2014
is 35 per 1,000 for married women and 26 per 1,000 for unmarried women.1
•
Women in developing regions have a higher likelihood of having an abortion than those in
developed regions—36 vs. 27 per 1,000.
•
Between 1990–1994 and 2010–2014, the abortion rate declined markedly
in developed regions, from 46 to 27 per 1,000, but remained roughly the same in
developing regions.
•
The annual number of abortions during the period
fell in developed regions, from about 12 million to seven million; in contrast,
the number increased in developing regions, from 38 million to 49 million,
although this change mainly reflects the growth of the reproductive-age
population.
•
The proportion of abortions worldwide that occur
in developing regions rose from 76% to 88% between 1990–1994 and 2010–2014.
•
Globally, 25% of all pregnancies ended in abortion in 2010–2014.
Between 1990–1994 and 2010–2014, the proportion of pregnancies ending in
abortion fell from 39% to 27% in developed countries, while it rose from 21% to
24% in developing countries.1
https://www.guttmacher.org/fact-sheet/induced-abortion-worldwide
Was
Abortion the ‘Leading Cause of Death’ in 2018?
Leading
causes of death worldwide and abortion estimates -- two different measures?
Bethania Palma, Published
3 January 2019 -- Snopes
On 31 December 2018, the Breitbart.com website reported under the
headline “Abortion Leading Cause
of Death in 2018 with 41 Million Killed” that “there have been some 41.9
million abortions performed in the course of the year,” making
abortion “the number
one cause of death worldwide in 2018, with more than 41 million children killed
before birth.”
That article spawned a ripple of similar reports on
various other sites, most of which referred back to the Breitbart piece, which
itself rested on a figure gleaned from Worldometers, a real-time tool that “analyzes
the available data, performs statistical analysis, and builds our algorithm [to
feed our] real time estimates.” Worldometers states that its abortion figures refer
to induced abortions (as opposed to miscarriages), and that:
The data on abortions displayed on
the Worldometers’ counter is based on the latest statistics on worldwide
abortions published by the World Health Organization (WHO). According to WHO,
every year in the world there are an estimated 40-50 million abortions. This
corresponds to approximately 125,000 abortions per day.
However, the most recent figure on abortions from WHO we
could locate dated from 2014 and was slightly higher than Worldometers’ tally.
WHO estimated that between 2010
and 2014, an average of 56 million induced abortions occurred worldwide each
year.
If WHO’s estimate of 56 million abortions annually held
steady through 2016, when they released their survey on the top ten leading causes of
death globally, it would be true that the number of abortions worldwide
outnumbered overall deaths from heart disease and stroke, the top two causes of
death that year. In 2016, ischemic heart disease and stroke killed a total of
15.2 million people worldwide, according to WHO, noting that “These diseases
have remained the leading causes of death globally in the last 15 years”:
We can infer from WHO statistics that the difference
between the number of abortions worldwide
versus the number of deaths from heart disease and stroke worldwide is not a
new dynamic, although viral stories proclaiming that abortions “now” outnumber
deaths from those other causes imply that fact is a recent development.
Stating that abortion is the
“leading cause of death” worldwide (as opposed to a medical procedure) is a
problematic pronouncement, because that stance takes a political position, one
which is at odds with the scientific/medical world. The medical community does
not confer personhood upon fetuses that are not viable outside the womb, so
counting abortion as a “cause of death” does not align with the practices of
health organizations such as WHO and the Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention (CDC), as Heather Boonstra, director of public policy for the
reproductive health research organization Guttmacher Institute, told us:
Abortion is a legal,
constitutionally protected medical procedure in the United States. It’s not
considered a cause of death by CDC, WHO and other leading authorities, and
statistics on induced abortion are excluded
in the CDC’s national fetal-death statistics.
The legal, philosophical, religious, and scientific
arenas provide no definitive answers as to when personhood begins. Medical
advances continue to push the stage at which a fetus can be considered viable
outside the womb, as Wired reported in 2015:
When life begins is, of
course, the central disagreement that fuels the controversy over abortion. Attacks on abortion rights are now more veiled and
indirect — like secret videos pointing to Planned Parenthood’s fetal tissue donations, or state legislation that
makes operating abortion clinics so onerous they have to shut down. But make no
mistake, the ultimate question is, when does a fetus become a person — at
fertilization, at birth, or somewhere in between?
Here, modern science
offers no clarity. If anything, the past century of scientific advances have
only made the answer more complicated. As scientists have peered into wombs
with ultrasound and looked directly at sperm entering an egg, they’ve found
that all the bright lines they thought existed dissolving.
Concluding an entry on the topic, RationalWiki quotes
developmental biologist Scott Gilbert in saying that “The entity created by
fertilization is indeed a human embryo, and it has the potential to be human
adult. Whether these facts are enough to accord it personhood is a question
influenced by opinion, philosophy and theology, rather than by science.”
Although the U.S. Supreme Court ruling in the
landmark 1973 Roe. v. Wade case held that unduly restrictive
state regulation of abortion was
unconstitutional, fetal personhood very much remains a legal issue and not
merely an abstract philosophical one. As the New York Times reported, the enactment of
fetal personhood statutes in some states has resulted in the prosecution of
women over circumstances that ended or endangered their pregnancies:
You might be surprised
to learn that in the United States a woman coping with the heartbreak of losing
her pregnancy might also find herself facing jail time. Say she got in a car
accident in New York or gave birth to a stillborn in Indiana: In such cases,
women have been charged with manslaughter.
In fact, a fetus need
not die for the state to charge a pregnant woman with a crime. Women who fell
down the stairs, who ate a poppy seed bagel and failed a drug test or who took
legal drugs during pregnancy — drugs prescribed by their doctors — all have
been accused of endangering their children.
So what motivates these
prosecutions? The reality is that, in many cases, these women are collateral
damage in the fight over abortion. As the legal debate over a woman’s right to terminate
her pregnancy has intensified, so too has the insistence of anti-abortion
groups that fertilized eggs and fetuses be granted full rights and the
protection of the law — an extreme legal argument with little precedent in
American law before the 1970s.
Frustrated by the Roe
v. Wade decision that
legalized abortion, many in the anti-abortion movement hope for a
sweeping rollback under a conservative Supreme Court — one that
would block access to abortion even in states that protect women’s access to
such health services.
https://www.snopes.com/news/2019/01/03/abortion-leading-cause-of-death/
What the Alabama
Abortion Law Means for Women
Across the Country
By
Macaela Mackenzie
November
7, 2018
The
results of Tuesday’s midterms marked a number of history-making elections for
women: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York became the youngest person ever
elected to Congress, Ilhan Omar of Minnesota and Rashida Tlaib of Michigan
broke barriers as the first Muslim women elected, Sharice Davids of Kansas and
Deb Haaland of New Mexico made major strides for Native American women with
their wins, and Jahana Hayes of Connecticut and Ayanna Pressley of
Massachusetts became the first black women to represent their states.
But
the historic elections aren’t just about who’s repping the country. New
abortion laws, which were
voted on in three states—Alabama, West Virginia, and Oregon—have implications
for women across the country. Two amendments passed last night are putting
women's ability to access safe abortions in jeopardy.
ALABAMA
Alabama’s
abortion measure, which
passed by a wide margin, is major. The amendment to the state’s constitution is
what's called a “personhood law,” which grants the right to life from the
moment of conception. Essentially, it means that in the state of Alabama, a
fetus or embryo has the same rights as a full-fledged person.
"They’ve
granted full rights to the unborn from the moment of conception—that means
fertilized eggs—while they strip away all of the rights for pregnant
women," says Yashica Robinson, M.D., a gynecologist in Alabama and a board
member of Physicians for Reproductive Health.
These laws are known as
“trigger laws,” which means if Roe
v. Wade is overturned, they
could trigger an outright ban on abortion, criminalizing the procedure for women in those states.
The
threat to women's rights is bad enough, but abortion-rights supporters worry that the amendment might also
jeopardize infertility treatments like IVF. "In any type of assisted
reproductive technology treatment, most commonly in vitro fertilization,
embryos are formed," Dr. Robinson explains. "Generally, you’re going
to form more embryos than you’re going to use." What happens to those
unused embryos is already a hotly debated issue, and Alabama's newly minted
amendment could make the issue of disposing of unused embryos even murkier.
"The way this amendment was written, it seems like it’s just about abortion,
but it clearly says that it protects the rights of the unborn—and that’s from
the moment of creation," Dr. Robinson says.
The
approved amendment states that no provisions in Alabama’s constitution provide
a woman with the right to have an abortion—no exceptions for cases of rape, incest, or when the life
of the mother is at risk.
For
Dr. Robinson, that's not only "devastating"; it violates her duty as
a physician. "As a physician I’ve taken an oath to do what’s best for my
patients. That means advocating for access to health care for them that values
their privacy, their autonomy, and their dignity," she says. "My job,
even when it's a hard decision to make, is to counsel the patient and help them
to make health care decisions that are best for them. [The amendment will] harm
patients and bind the hands of physicians."
WEST VIRGINIA
West
Virginia also passed a ballot measure that will restrict women’s access to
abortion. Just as in Alabama, West Virginia's Amendment 1 paves the
way to criminalize abortion, stripping women of protections to their federal
right to an abortion. The amendment also strips state funding for abortions through insurance
programs like Medicaid.
"Being
able to pay for an abortion is a key part of
being able to access an abortion," says Yamani Hernandez, executive
director of the National Network of Abortion Funds. "The reason
why abortion funds exist is because abortion is out of reach for so many."
State
laws that strip funding for abortion care, often
disproportionately affect disadvantaged women, she says. "This is
something that we consider to be discriminatory, something that targets people
of color and people with lower incomes and discriminates against people based
on the insurance coverage that people have."
“We need legislators
across the country to understand that abortion is health care,
health care is a right, and a right is not a right if every patient can’t
afford to access it.”
(Oregon
voted on a similar ballot measure, which proposed ending state funding of
abortion except when the
procedure was medically necessary, but it was voted down by a wide margin.)
So
what does this mean for women's rights to reproductive care across the U.S.?
Alabama and West Virginia’s newly approved abortion amendments are
important on a national level. Laws like the newly passed amendments in Alabama
and West Virginia are known as “trigger laws,” which means if Roe v. Wade is overturned, they could trigger an outright
ban on abortion, criminalizing the procedure for women in those states, The
Washington Post reports. (In an NBC poll taken yesterday, two thirds of voters
supported keeping the landmark ruling that grants the right to an abortion in
place.)
This
possibility is what worries abortion activists the most.
"It makes our work dramatically more urgent and important, because if that
starts to happen, it’s going to make travel to get abortions even harder,"
Hernandez says. "People are already traveling hundreds of miles to get an
abortion. This makes the legal right to abortion completely out of reach for
too many. "
In
other areas of the country, voters elected officials with track records of
fighting for reproductive health like Jacky Rosen and Tina Smith (who is a
former Planned Parenthood employee). “In 2018
voters made their voices heard loud and clear: They want elected officials who
champion reproductive health care and will stand up for women," Dawn
Laguens, executive vice president of the Planned Parenthood Action Fund, said
in a statement sent to Glamour.
Hernandez
says those victories are cause to be optimistic about the future—she's not
giving up on health care funding that includes abortion care. “We need
legislators across the country to understand that abortion is health
care," Willie Parker, M.D., board chair of Physicians for Reproductive
Health, said in a statement sent to Glamour. "Health care is a right, and
a right is not a right if every patient can’t afford to access it.”
https://www.glamour.com/story/what-alabama-abortion-law-means-for-women-across-the-country
Comments
Post a Comment